Official meteorological data from Météo-France confirm a minimum temperature of 6°C in Paris on May 16, driven by clear overnight skies, light northerly winds, and persistent high pressure that suppressed radiative cooling and prevented deeper temperature drops. Ensemble forecasts aligned closely with this outcome, reflecting typical late-spring climatology for the region where nocturnal lows rarely fall below 5°C under stable anticyclonic conditions. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability on the 6°C outcome incorporates these verified measurements, with only remote scenarios such as post-event data revisions or localized microclimate anomalies capable of altering resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日5月16日のパリの最低気温は?
6°C 100.0%
0℃以下 <1%
1°C <1%
2°C <1%
$17,421 Vol.
$17,421 Vol.
0℃以下
いいえ
1°C
いいえ
2°C
いいえ
3°C
いいえ
4°C
いいえ
5°C
いいえ
6°C
はい
7℃
いいえ
8°C
いいえ
9℃
いいえ
10℃以上
いいえ
6°C 100.0%
0℃以下 <1%
1°C <1%
2°C <1%
$17,421 Vol.
$17,421 Vol.
0℃以下
いいえ
1°C
いいえ
2°C
いいえ
3°C
いいえ
4°C
いいえ
5°C
いいえ
6°C
はい
7℃
いいえ
8°C
いいえ
9℃
いいえ
10℃以上
いいえ
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Official meteorological data from Météo-France confirm a minimum temperature of 6°C in Paris on May 16, driven by clear overnight skies, light northerly winds, and persistent high pressure that suppressed radiative cooling and prevented deeper temperature drops. Ensemble forecasts aligned closely with this outcome, reflecting typical late-spring climatology for the region where nocturnal lows rarely fall below 5°C under stable anticyclonic conditions. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability on the 6°C outcome incorporates these verified measurements, with only remote scenarios such as post-event data revisions or localized microclimate anomalies capable of altering resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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