Recent Météo-France and ECMWF ensemble guidance has converged on an overnight low near 10°C at the Paris-Le Bourget reference station for May 17, supporting the market's strong 96.5% implied probability for that outcome. A moderating northerly flow combined with building high pressure has enabled moderate radiative cooling beneath partly cloudy skies following a brief cool spell earlier in the week. This aligns with typical May climatology, where average lows hover around 10°C amid variable spring conditions. Key upcoming data include final observational reports from official monitoring stations, though deviations could arise from unexpected increases in cloud cover or shifts in steering winds that alter cooling rates by 1–2°C.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日5月17日のパリの最低気温は?
10℃ 97.4%
9℃ 2.3%
8℃ <1%
2°C以下 <1%
$7,531 Vol.
$7,531 Vol.
2°C以下
<1%
3℃
<1%
4℃
<1%
5℃
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8℃
<1%
9℃
2%
10℃
97%
11°C
<1%
12°C以上
<1%
10℃ 97.4%
9℃ 2.3%
8℃ <1%
2°C以下 <1%
$7,531 Vol.
$7,531 Vol.
2°C以下
<1%
3℃
<1%
4℃
<1%
5℃
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8℃
<1%
9℃
2%
10℃
97%
11°C
<1%
12°C以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Recent Météo-France and ECMWF ensemble guidance has converged on an overnight low near 10°C at the Paris-Le Bourget reference station for May 17, supporting the market's strong 96.5% implied probability for that outcome. A moderating northerly flow combined with building high pressure has enabled moderate radiative cooling beneath partly cloudy skies following a brief cool spell earlier in the week. This aligns with typical May climatology, where average lows hover around 10°C amid variable spring conditions. Key upcoming data include final observational reports from official monitoring stations, though deviations could arise from unexpected increases in cloud cover or shifts in steering winds that alter cooling rates by 1–2°C.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問