Official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration, or KMA, establish a daily minimum near 24°C for Seoul and Incheon on August 13 under clear-to-partly-cloudy skies, with radiative cooling overnight limited by high humidity and urban heat retention typical of late-summer conditions in the region. This aligns with climatological August lows around 23–24°C and supports the overwhelming market-implied probability for a 23°C reading. Traders have converged on this outcome because multiple model runs show little deviation from the expected nocturnal temperature range. A sudden increase in low-level moisture, stronger winds, or localized measurement differences at the Incheon station could still shift the recorded minimum by 1–2°C.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月13日のソウル(仁川)の最低気温は?
23℃ 99.4%
22℃ <1%
19℃ <1%
21°C <1%
$13,907 Vol.
$13,907 Vol.
18℃以下
<1%
19℃
<1%
20℃
<1%
21°C
<1%
22℃
<1%
23℃
99%
24℃
<1%
25℃
<1%
26℃
<1%
27℃
<1%
28℃以上
<1%
23℃ 99.4%
22℃ <1%
19℃ <1%
21°C <1%
$13,907 Vol.
$13,907 Vol.
18℃以下
<1%
19℃
<1%
20℃
<1%
21°C
<1%
22℃
<1%
23℃
99%
24℃
<1%
25℃
<1%
26℃
<1%
27℃
<1%
28℃以上
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration, or KMA, establish a daily minimum near 24°C for Seoul and Incheon on August 13 under clear-to-partly-cloudy skies, with radiative cooling overnight limited by high humidity and urban heat retention typical of late-summer conditions in the region. This aligns with climatological August lows around 23–24°C and supports the overwhelming market-implied probability for a 23°C reading. Traders have converged on this outcome because multiple model runs show little deviation from the expected nocturnal temperature range. A sudden increase in low-level moisture, stronger winds, or localized measurement differences at the Incheon station could still shift the recorded minimum by 1–2°C.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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