Official Korea Meteorological Administration guidance projecting a 25–26°C minimum for Seoul-Incheon on August 15 under mostly cloudy skies is anchoring trader consensus near the middle of the distribution. Persistent summer moisture and limited nocturnal radiative cooling from cloud cover are preventing stronger overnight drops, while regional steering patterns sustain a warm, humid air mass consistent with August climatology where typical lows range 23–25°C. Model runs show only minor variations in timing of any clearing, keeping the 24–26°C outcomes tightly bunched; fresh KMA short-range updates or observed trends in humidity and wind will likely refine resolution probabilities ahead of the overnight period.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月15日のソウル（仁川）の最低気温は？
8月15日のソウル（仁川）の最低気温は？
26°C 35%
25℃ 32%
24℃ 29%
27℃ 12%
新規
新規
2026/08/15
20℃以下
2%
21℃
2%
22℃
9%
23°C
10%
24℃
29%
25℃
32%
26°C
35%
27℃
12%
28°C
9%
29°C
2%
30℃以上
2%
26°C 35%
25℃ 32%
24℃ 29%
27℃ 12%
新規
新規
2026/08/15
20℃以下
$12 Vol.
2%
21℃
$25 Vol.
2%
22℃
$27 Vol.
9%
23°C
$0 Vol.
10%
24℃
$10 Vol.
29%
25℃
$0 Vol.
32%
26°C
$0 Vol.
35%
27℃
$0 Vol.
12%
28°C
$13 Vol.
9%
29°C
$12 Vol.
2%
30℃以上
$12 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Korea Meteorological Administration guidance projecting a 25–26°C minimum for Seoul-Incheon on August 15 under mostly cloudy skies is anchoring trader consensus near the middle of the distribution. Persistent summer moisture and limited nocturnal radiative cooling from cloud cover are preventing stronger overnight drops, while regional steering patterns sustain a warm, humid air mass consistent with August climatology where typical lows range 23–25°C. Model runs show only minor variations in timing of any clearing, keeping the 24–26°C outcomes tightly bunched; fresh KMA short-range updates or observed trends in humidity and wind will likely refine resolution probabilities ahead of the overnight period.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 13, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
音量
$112終了日
2026/08/15マーケット開始日
Aug 13, 2026, 12:28 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Korea Meteorological Administration guidance projecting a 25–26°C minimum for Seoul-Incheon on August 15 under mostly cloudy skies is anchoring trader consensus near the middle of the distribution. Persistent summer moisture and limited nocturnal radiative cooling from cloud cover are preventing stronger overnight drops, while regional steering patterns sustain a warm, humid air mass consistent with August climatology where typical lows range 23–25°C. Model runs show only minor variations in timing of any clearing, keeping the 24–26°C outcomes tightly bunched; fresh KMA short-range updates or observed trends in humidity and wind will likely refine resolution probabilities ahead of the overnight period.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$112終了日
2026/08/15マーケット開始日
Aug 13, 2026, 12:28 AM ETOfficial Korea Meteorological Administration guidance projecting a 25–26°C minimum for Seoul-Incheon on August 15 under mostly cloudy skies is anchoring trader consensus near the middle of the distribution. Persistent summer moisture and limited nocturnal radiative cooling from cloud cover are preventing stronger overnight drops, while regional steering patterns sustain a warm, humid air mass consistent with August climatology where typical lows range 23–25°C. Model runs show only minor variations in timing of any clearing, keeping the 24–26°C outcomes tightly bunched; fresh KMA short-range updates or observed trends in humidity and wind will likely refine resolution probabilities ahead of the overnight period.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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