**Persistent cloud cover, rain, and elevated humidity from an unsettled weather pattern are positioning Tokyo's minimum temperature on September 19, 2026, around 20–22°C as the market's leading outcomes (combined ~75% implied probability).** Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and international models show Saturday, September 19, with mostly cloudy to rainy conditions, highs near 24–25°C, and overnight lows in the 20–22°C range—higher than the late-September climatological average of roughly 19°C. Recent days have featured frequent showers and northerly flow that maintains moisture, limiting nighttime radiative cooling. This setup reduces the chance of clearer skies or stronger cooling that could push readings to 19°C or below (currently under 6% combined). Traders are weighting the latest model consensus and JMA guidance, which emphasize continued precipitation chances (40–70%) and stable humidity near 80–90%, keeping the distribution tightly clustered at 20–22°C ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月19日の東京の最低気温は？
9月19日の東京の最低気温は？
21℃ 44%
22°C 28%
20℃ 27%
18℃ 13%
新規
新規
2026/09/19
16°C以下
1%
17℃
1%
18℃
13%
19℃
11%
20℃
27%
21℃
44%
22°C
28%
23℃
9%
24℃
3%
25℃
1%
26℃以上
1%
21℃ 44%
22°C 28%
20℃ 27%
18℃ 13%
新規
新規
2026/09/19
16°C以下
$0 Vol.
1%
17℃
$0 Vol.
1%
18℃
$0 Vol.
13%
19℃
$0 Vol.
11%
20℃
$255 Vol.
27%
21℃
$265 Vol.
44%
22°C
$1,385 Vol.
28%
23℃
$0 Vol.
9%
24℃
$0 Vol.
3%
25℃
$0 Vol.
1%
26℃以上
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent cloud cover, rain, and elevated humidity from an unsettled weather pattern are positioning Tokyo's minimum temperature on September 19, 2026, around 20–22°C as the market's leading outcomes (combined ~75% implied probability).**
Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and international models show Saturday, September 19, with mostly cloudy to rainy conditions, highs near 24–25°C, and overnight lows in the 20–22°C range—higher than the late-September climatological average of roughly 19°C. Recent days have featured frequent showers and northerly flow that maintains moisture, limiting nighttime radiative cooling. This setup reduces the chance of clearer skies or stronger cooling that could push readings to 19°C or below (currently under 6% combined).
Traders are weighting the latest model consensus and JMA guidance, which emphasize continued precipitation chances (40–70%) and stable humidity near 80–90%, keeping the distribution tightly clustered at 20–22°C ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 17, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
音量
$1,904終了日
2026/09/19マーケット開始日
Sep 17, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent cloud cover, rain, and elevated humidity from an unsettled weather pattern are positioning Tokyo's minimum temperature on September 19, 2026, around 20–22°C as the market's leading outcomes (combined ~75% implied probability).**
Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and international models show Saturday, September 19, with mostly cloudy to rainy conditions, highs near 24–25°C, and overnight lows in the 20–22°C range—higher than the late-September climatological average of roughly 19°C. Recent days have featured frequent showers and northerly flow that maintains moisture, limiting nighttime radiative cooling. This setup reduces the chance of clearer skies or stronger cooling that could push readings to 19°C or below (currently under 6% combined).
Traders are weighting the latest model consensus and JMA guidance, which emphasize continued precipitation chances (40–70%) and stable humidity near 80–90%, keeping the distribution tightly clustered at 20–22°C ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$1,904終了日
2026/09/19マーケット開始日
Sep 17, 2026, 12:29 AM ET**Persistent cloud cover, rain, and elevated humidity from an unsettled weather pattern are positioning Tokyo's minimum temperature on September 19, 2026, around 20–22°C as the market's leading outcomes (combined ~75% implied probability).** Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and international models show Saturday, September 19, with mostly cloudy to rainy conditions, highs near 24–25°C, and overnight lows in the 20–22°C range—higher than the late-September climatological average of roughly 19°C. Recent days have featured frequent showers and northerly flow that maintains moisture, limiting nighttime radiative cooling. This setup reduces the chance of clearer skies or stronger cooling that could push readings to 19°C or below (currently under 6% combined). Traders are weighting the latest model consensus and JMA guidance, which emphasize continued precipitation chances (40–70%) and stable humidity near 80–90%, keeping the distribution tightly clustered at 20–22°C ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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