Trader consensus favors Dan Cox at 57.5% implied probability for the June 23 Republican primary, driven by his status as the 2022 GOP nominee—who won that primary decisively with Trump backing—and strong appeal to the party base in a low-turnout contest. Ed Hale follows at 33.9%, gaining from self-funding as a Baltimore businessman who switched from Democrat, recent Timonium fundraiser on April 21, and fresh proposals like monetizing the governor's mansion. Larry Hogan holds 9.9% despite his January announcement ruling out a run, reflecting residual moderate support. Cox and Hale skipped March's first debate in confidence; a May 19 forum and early voting from June 11 could shift dynamics amid no public polls.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日ダン・コックス 57%
エド・ヘイル 33.9%
ラリー・ホーガン 6.6%
ジョン・マイリック 2.6%
$545,700 Vol.
$545,700 Vol.
ダン・コックス
57%
エド・ヘイル
34%
ラリー・ホーガン
7%
ジョン・マイリック
3%
スティーブ・ハーシー
2%
クリストファー・ブシャット
<1%
カール・ブルナー
<1%
カート・ヴェデカインド
<1%
ダン・コックス 57%
エド・ヘイル 33.9%
ラリー・ホーガン 6.6%
ジョン・マイリック 2.6%
$545,700 Vol.
$545,700 Vol.
ダン・コックス
57%
エド・ヘイル
34%
ラリー・ホーガン
7%
ジョン・マイリック
3%
スティーブ・ハーシー
2%
クリストファー・ブシャット
<1%
カール・ブルナー
<1%
カート・ヴェデカインド
<1%
If no 2026 Maryland Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maryland Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
マーケット開始日: Dec 10, 2025, 4:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Maryland Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maryland Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors Dan Cox at 57.5% implied probability for the June 23 Republican primary, driven by his status as the 2022 GOP nominee—who won that primary decisively with Trump backing—and strong appeal to the party base in a low-turnout contest. Ed Hale follows at 33.9%, gaining from self-funding as a Baltimore businessman who switched from Democrat, recent Timonium fundraiser on April 21, and fresh proposals like monetizing the governor's mansion. Larry Hogan holds 9.9% despite his January announcement ruling out a run, reflecting residual moderate support. Cox and Hale skipped March's first debate in confidence; a May 19 forum and early voting from June 11 could shift dynamics amid no public polls.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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