Cleitinho Azevedo leads the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial race in recent Genial/Quaest and other surveys with first-round support ranging from 30% to 37%, reflecting consolidation among conservative and evangelical voters plus low rejection rates ahead of the October 4 first round. Rodrigo Pacheco trails at lower single-digit polling levels amid coalition-building delays and recent indications he may forgo the race, limiting his ability to unify center-right backing. Fragmented support among remaining contenders such as Alexandre Kalil, Mateus Simões, and Aécio Neves further disperses opposition to the term-limited succession from incumbent Romeu Zema. Traders price these polling trends, alliance dynamics, and the possibility of an October 25 runoff as the primary drivers of current outcome probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Cleitinho Azevedo 46%
Rodrigo Pacheco 24%
Mateus Simões 7.5%
Alexandre Kalil 7.0%
$24,055 Vol.
$24,055 Vol.

Cleitinho Azevedo
46%

Rodrigo Pacheco
24%

Mateus Simões
8%

Alexandre Kalil
7%

Alexandre Silveira
6%

Aécio Neves
6%

Tadeu Leite
4%

Nikolas Ferreira
3%

ベノニ・メンデス
3%

Gabriel Azevedo
1%
Cleitinho Azevedo 46%
Rodrigo Pacheco 24%
Mateus Simões 7.5%
Alexandre Kalil 7.0%
$24,055 Vol.
$24,055 Vol.

Cleitinho Azevedo
46%

Rodrigo Pacheco
24%

Mateus Simões
8%

Alexandre Kalil
7%

Alexandre Silveira
6%

Aécio Neves
6%

Tadeu Leite
4%

Nikolas Ferreira
3%

ベノニ・メンデス
3%

Gabriel Azevedo
1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
マーケット開始日: Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Cleitinho Azevedo leads the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial race in recent Genial/Quaest and other surveys with first-round support ranging from 30% to 37%, reflecting consolidation among conservative and evangelical voters plus low rejection rates ahead of the October 4 first round. Rodrigo Pacheco trails at lower single-digit polling levels amid coalition-building delays and recent indications he may forgo the race, limiting his ability to unify center-right backing. Fragmented support among remaining contenders such as Alexandre Kalil, Mateus Simões, and Aécio Neves further disperses opposition to the term-limited succession from incumbent Romeu Zema. Traders price these polling trends, alliance dynamics, and the possibility of an October 25 runoff as the primary drivers of current outcome probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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