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政治·プライマリ

ニューハンプシャー州知事民主党予備選

icon for ニューハンプシャー州知事民主党予備選
政治·プライマリ

ニューハンプシャー州知事民主党予備選

シンディ・ウォーミントン 75%

ジョン・キーパー 5%

トム・シャーマン 4.4%

ディーグラン・マキーチェン 3.9%

Polymarket

$23,136 Vol.

シンディ・ウォーミントン 75%

ジョン・キーパー 5%

トム・シャーマン 4.4%

ディーグラン・マキーチェン 3.9%

Polymarket

$23,136 Vol.

シンディ・ウォーミントン

$8,788 Vol.

75%

ジョン・キーパー

$2,568 Vol.

5%

トム・シャーマン

$1,956 Vol.

4%

ディーグラン・マキーチェン

$8,600 Vol.

4%

ドノヴァン・フェントン

$1,224 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of New Hampshire, scheduled to take place on September 8, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 New Hampshire Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Cinde Warmington holds a commanding lead in the Democratic primary for New Hampshire governor, set for September 8, 2026, due to her prior statewide name recognition from the 2024 primary and her early February 2026 campaign launch emphasizing affordability and cost-of-living issues. Recent polling from Saint Anselm College in March showed her ahead of Jon Kiper by a wide margin among likely Democratic primary voters. Kiper’s April departure from the Democratic Party to run under the Community First banner further consolidated support behind Warmington, while other potential entrants such as Deaglan McEachern and Donovan Fenton have declined or stepped aside. Traders appear to view these developments as clearing a low-barrier path for Warmington, consistent with her established fundraising and organizational edge in a sparsely contested field.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of New Hampshire, scheduled to take place on September 8, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 New Hampshire Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
音量
$23,136
終了日
2026/09/08
マーケット開始日
Dec 4, 2025, 5:57 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of New Hampshire, scheduled to take place on September 8, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 New Hampshire Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of New Hampshire, scheduled to take place on September 8, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 New Hampshire Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Cinde Warmington holds a commanding lead in the Democratic primary for New Hampshire governor, set for September 8, 2026, due to her prior statewide name recognition from the 2024 primary and her early February 2026 campaign launch emphasizing affordability and cost-of-living issues. Recent polling from Saint Anselm College in March showed her ahead of Jon Kiper by a wide margin among likely Democratic primary voters. Kiper’s April departure from the Democratic Party to run under the Community First banner further consolidated support behind Warmington, while other potential entrants such as Deaglan McEachern and Donovan Fenton have declined or stepped aside. Traders appear to view these developments as clearing a low-barrier path for Warmington, consistent with her established fundraising and organizational edge in a sparsely contested field.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of New Hampshire, scheduled to take place on September 8, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 New Hampshire Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
音量
$23,136
終了日
2026/09/08
マーケット開始日
Dec 4, 2025, 5:57 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of New Hampshire, scheduled to take place on September 8, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 New Hampshire Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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よくある質問

「ニューハンプシャー州知事民主党予備選」はPolymarket上の5個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「シンディ・ウォーミントン」で75%、次いで「ジョン・キーパー」が5%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、75¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に75%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「ニューハンプシャー州知事民主党予備選」は$23.1Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Dec 4, 2025のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「ニューハンプシャー州知事民主党予備選」で取引するには、このページに記載されている5個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「ニューハンプシャー州知事民主党予備選」の現在のフロントランナーは「シンディ・ウォーミントン」で75%であり、市場がこの結果に75%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「ジョン・キーパー」で5%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「ニューハンプシャー州知事民主党予備選」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。