Denis Bećirović maintains a narrow lead in the race for Bosnia and Herzegovina’s Bosniak presidency seat ahead of the October 2026 general election, buoyed by his incumbency advantage and recent service as the country’s rotating chair of the UN Security Council. This positioning reflects trader consensus on his established national profile and cross-entity visibility. Bakir Izetbegović’s late candidacy announcement on behalf of the Party of Democratic Action has reintroduced competition rooted in the party’s historical Bosniak base, though ongoing fragmentation within the community limits unified mobilization. Semir Efendić, as mayor of Novi Grad Sarajevo and leader of the Party for Bosnia and Herzegovina, draws support from urban voters but trails amid a split field. These dynamics underscore how incumbency, party structures, and recent diplomatic exposure continue to shape implied probabilities in this closely contested contest.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日次期ボスニア・ヘルツェゴビナ大統領は？
次期ボスニア・ヘルツェゴビナ大統領は？
Denis Bećirović 50%
バキル・イゼトベゴヴィッチ 39%
Semir Efendić 12%
$12,118 Vol.
$12,118 Vol.
2026/10/04
Denis Bećirović
50%
バキル・イゼトベゴヴィッチ
39%
Semir Efendić
12%
Denis Bećirović 50%
バキル・イゼトベゴヴィッチ 39%
Semir Efendić 12%
$12,118 Vol.
$12,118 Vol.
2026/10/04
Denis Bećirović
$4,468 Vol.
50%
バキル・イゼトベゴヴィッチ
$4,089 Vol.
39%
Semir Efendić
$3,561 Vol.
12%
The Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina is a three-member collective head of state, consisting of one Bosniak member, one Croat member, and one Serb member. The Bosniak and Croat members are elected from the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina, while the Serb member is elected from Republika Srpska. General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed individual elected to serve as the Bosniak member of the Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election.
Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidency members will not count.
If no such Presidency member has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Denis Bećirović maintains a narrow lead in the race for Bosnia and Herzegovina’s Bosniak presidency seat ahead of the October 2026 general election, buoyed by his incumbency advantage and recent service as the country’s rotating chair of the UN Security Council. This positioning reflects trader consensus on his established national profile and cross-entity visibility. Bakir Izetbegović’s late candidacy announcement on behalf of the Party of Democratic Action has reintroduced competition rooted in the party’s historical Bosniak base, though ongoing fragmentation within the community limits unified mobilization. Semir Efendić, as mayor of Novi Grad Sarajevo and leader of the Party for Bosnia and Herzegovina, draws support from urban voters but trails amid a split field. These dynamics underscore how incumbency, party structures, and recent diplomatic exposure continue to shape implied probabilities in this closely contested contest.
The Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina is a three-member collective head of state, consisting of one Bosniak member, one Croat member, and one Serb member. The Bosniak and Croat members are elected from the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina, while the Serb member is elected from Republika Srpska. General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed individual elected to serve as the Bosniak member of the Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election.
Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidency members will not count.
If no such Presidency member has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed individual elected to serve as the Bosniak member of the Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election.
Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidency members will not count.
If no such Presidency member has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： May 12, 2026, 7:51 PM ET
音量
$12,118終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
May 12, 2026, 7:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina is a three-member collective head of state, consisting of one Bosniak member, one Croat member, and one Serb member. The Bosniak and Croat members are elected from the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina, while the Serb member is elected from Republika Srpska. General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed individual elected to serve as the Bosniak member of the Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election.
Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidency members will not count.
If no such Presidency member has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Denis Bećirović maintains a narrow lead in the race for Bosnia and Herzegovina’s Bosniak presidency seat ahead of the October 2026 general election, buoyed by his incumbency advantage and recent service as the country’s rotating chair of the UN Security Council. This positioning reflects trader consensus on his established national profile and cross-entity visibility. Bakir Izetbegović’s late candidacy announcement on behalf of the Party of Democratic Action has reintroduced competition rooted in the party’s historical Bosniak base, though ongoing fragmentation within the community limits unified mobilization. Semir Efendić, as mayor of Novi Grad Sarajevo and leader of the Party for Bosnia and Herzegovina, draws support from urban voters but trails amid a split field. These dynamics underscore how incumbency, party structures, and recent diplomatic exposure continue to shape implied probabilities in this closely contested contest.
The Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina is a three-member collective head of state, consisting of one Bosniak member, one Croat member, and one Serb member. The Bosniak and Croat members are elected from the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina, while the Serb member is elected from Republika Srpska. General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed individual elected to serve as the Bosniak member of the Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election.
Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidency members will not count.
If no such Presidency member has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed individual elected to serve as the Bosniak member of the Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election.
Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidency members will not count.
If no such Presidency member has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$12,118終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
May 12, 2026, 7:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Denis Bećirović maintains a narrow lead in the race for Bosnia and Herzegovina’s Bosniak presidency seat ahead of the October 2026 general election, buoyed by his incumbency advantage and recent service as the country’s rotating chair of the UN Security Council. This positioning reflects trader consensus on his established national profile and cross-entity visibility. Bakir Izetbegović’s late candidacy announcement on behalf of the Party of Democratic Action has reintroduced competition rooted in the party’s historical Bosniak base, though ongoing fragmentation within the community limits unified mobilization. Semir Efendić, as mayor of Novi Grad Sarajevo and leader of the Party for Bosnia and Herzegovina, draws support from urban voters but trails amid a split field. These dynamics underscore how incumbency, party structures, and recent diplomatic exposure continue to shape implied probabilities in this closely contested contest.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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