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選挙·グローバル選挙

Next Premier of Quebec

icon for Next Premier of Quebec
選挙·グローバル選挙

Next Premier of Quebec

Paul St-Pierre Plamondon 66%

Charles Milliard 23%

Christine Fréchette 18.2%

Éric Duhaime 1.1%

Polymarket

$27,087 Vol.

Paul St-Pierre Plamondon 66%

Charles Milliard 23%

Christine Fréchette 18.2%

Éric Duhaime 1.1%

Polymarket

$27,087 Vol.

icon for Paul St-Pierre Plamondon

Paul St-Pierre Plamondon

$5,848 Vol.

64%

icon for Charles Milliard

Charles Milliard

$2,847 Vol.

23%

icon for Christine Fréchette

Christine Fréchette

$3,267 Vol.

13%

icon for Éric Duhaime

Éric Duhaime

$6,162 Vol.

1%

icon for Sol Zanetti

Sol Zanetti

$1,795 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ruba Ghazal

Ruba Ghazal

$2,789 Vol.

<1%

icon for Bernard Drainville

Bernard Drainville

$4,379 Vol.

<1%

The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Paul St-Pierre Plamondon leads trader consensus for Quebec's October 2026 general election because recent polling consistently places the Parti Québécois ahead or tied for first, with the party holding a narrow edge over the Liberals in April surveys from Léger and others. The PQ's focus on sovereignty and provincial identity has sustained support despite ongoing debates about referendum timing, while new Liberal leader Charles Milliard has narrowed gaps but faces challenges rebuilding after recent leadership instability. Christine Fréchette, sworn in as interim premier after winning the Coalition Avenir Québec leadership race in April following François Legault's January resignation, has yet to reverse the governing party's sharp decline in voter intentions. Éric Duhaime and other minor-party figures trail with limited momentum in the fragmented field ahead of the fixed election date.

The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$27,087
終了日
2026/10/05
マーケット開始日
May 1, 2026, 6:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Paul St-Pierre Plamondon leads trader consensus for Quebec's October 2026 general election because recent polling consistently places the Parti Québécois ahead or tied for first, with the party holding a narrow edge over the Liberals in April surveys from Léger and others. The PQ's focus on sovereignty and provincial identity has sustained support despite ongoing debates about referendum timing, while new Liberal leader Charles Milliard has narrowed gaps but faces challenges rebuilding after recent leadership instability. Christine Fréchette, sworn in as interim premier after winning the Coalition Avenir Québec leadership race in April following François Legault's January resignation, has yet to reverse the governing party's sharp decline in voter intentions. Éric Duhaime and other minor-party figures trail with limited momentum in the fragmented field ahead of the fixed election date.

The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$27,087
終了日
2026/10/05
マーケット開始日
May 1, 2026, 6:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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よくある質問

「Next Premier of Quebec」はPolymarket上の7個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「Paul St-Pierre Plamondon」で64%、次いで「Charles Milliard」が23%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、64¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に64%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「Next Premier of Quebec」は$27.1Kの総取引量を生み出しています（May 1, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「Next Premier of Quebec」で取引するには、このページに記載されている7個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「Next Premier of Quebec」の現在のフロントランナーは「Paul St-Pierre Plamondon」で64%であり、市場がこの結果に64%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「Charles Milliard」で23%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「Next Premier of Quebec」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。