Incumbent Mette Frederiksen holds a 74% implied probability as Denmark's next prime minister, driven by the Social Democrats securing the largest share of seats in the March 2026 Folketing election even as no bloc reached a majority. Recent coalition negotiations collapsed after seven weeks of talks among center-left parties, leading King Frederik X on May 9 to assign Venstre leader Troels Lund Poulsen the task of exploring a center-right alternative, which has lifted his odds to 8%. Lars Løkke Rasmussen's Moderates continue to hold pivotal kingmaker leverage at 9.3% amid the fragmented parliament, where ongoing talks face a tight timeline and could shift back to Frederiksen if center-right efforts stall.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日メッテ・フレデリクセン 74%
ラーズ・ロッケ・ラスムセン 9.8%
トロールス・ルンド・ポウルセン 8.0%
アレックス・ヴァンオプスラーグ <1%
$8,677,855 Vol.
$8,677,855 Vol.

メッテ・フレデリクセン
74%

ラーズ・ロッケ・ラスムセン
10%

トロールス・ルンド・ポウルセン
8%

アレックス・ヴァンオプスラーグ
1%

マーティン・リデゴー
<1%

ラース・ボイエ・マティーセン
<1%

モーテン・メッサーシュミット
<1%

モナ・ユール
<1%

インガー・ストイベア
<1%

ピア・オルセン・ディア
<1%

ペレ・ドラグステッド
<1%
メッテ・フレデリクセン 74%
ラーズ・ロッケ・ラスムセン 9.8%
トロールス・ルンド・ポウルセン 8.0%
アレックス・ヴァンオプスラーグ <1%
$8,677,855 Vol.
$8,677,855 Vol.

メッテ・フレデリクセン
74%

ラーズ・ロッケ・ラスムセン
10%

トロールス・ルンド・ポウルセン
8%

アレックス・ヴァンオプスラーグ
1%

マーティン・リデゴー
<1%

ラース・ボイエ・マティーセン
<1%

モーテン・メッサーシュミット
<1%

モナ・ユール
<1%

インガー・ストイベア
<1%

ピア・オルセン・ディア
<1%

ペレ・ドラグステッド
<1%
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of Denmark following the 2026 parliamentary election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Prime Minister by the Danish monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is appointed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日: Feb 26, 2026, 7:12 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of Denmark following the 2026 parliamentary election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Prime Minister by the Danish monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is appointed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Mette Frederiksen holds a 74% implied probability as Denmark's next prime minister, driven by the Social Democrats securing the largest share of seats in the March 2026 Folketing election even as no bloc reached a majority. Recent coalition negotiations collapsed after seven weeks of talks among center-left parties, leading King Frederik X on May 9 to assign Venstre leader Troels Lund Poulsen the task of exploring a center-right alternative, which has lifted his odds to 8%. Lars Løkke Rasmussen's Moderates continue to hold pivotal kingmaker leverage at 9.3% amid the fragmented parliament, where ongoing talks face a tight timeline and could shift back to Frederiksen if center-right efforts stall.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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