Recent polling from multiple Swedish firms shows the Social Democrats holding a steady lead of roughly 32–34 percent ahead of the September 13, 2026, Riksdag election, positioning Magdalena Andersson as the trader consensus favorite to return as prime minister. The current centre-right government led by Ulf Kristersson has seen its coalition partners lose ground, with the Moderate Party and its allies projected to fall short of a majority even with Sweden Democrats support. Kristersson’s April announcement that he would grant the Sweden Democrats key cabinet roles on immigration and integration if re-elected has sharpened voter divisions without shifting the overall polling trend. These dynamics have kept Andersson probabilities elevated while capping gains for Kristersson and smaller-party alternatives.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日マグダレナ・アンデション 69%
ウルフ・クリステルソン 29%
ジミー・オーケソン 2.3%
エバ・ブッシュ <1%
$1,953,933 Vol.
$1,953,933 Vol.
マグダレナ・アンデション
69%
ウルフ・クリステルソン
29%
ジミー・オーケソン
2%
エバ・ブッシュ
1%
アンナ＝カリン・ハット
<1%
アマンダ・リンド
<1%
シモナ・モハムソン
<1%
ダニエル・ヘルデーン
<1%
ヌーシ・ダドゴスター
<1%
エリザベート・タンド・リングクヴィスト
<1%
マグダレナ・アンデション 69%
ウルフ・クリステルソン 29%
ジミー・オーケソン 2.3%
エバ・ブッシュ <1%
$1,953,933 Vol.
$1,953,933 Vol.
マグダレナ・アンデション
69%
ウルフ・クリステルソン
29%
ジミー・オーケソン
2%
エバ・ブッシュ
1%
アンナ＝カリン・ハット
<1%
アマンダ・リンド
<1%
シモナ・モハムソン
<1%
ダニエル・ヘルデーン
<1%
ヌーシ・ダドゴスター
<1%
エリザベート・タンド・リングクヴィスト
<1%
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election.
To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Jan 19, 2026, 3:20 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election.
To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polling from multiple Swedish firms shows the Social Democrats holding a steady lead of roughly 32–34 percent ahead of the September 13, 2026, Riksdag election, positioning Magdalena Andersson as the trader consensus favorite to return as prime minister. The current centre-right government led by Ulf Kristersson has seen its coalition partners lose ground, with the Moderate Party and its allies projected to fall short of a majority even with Sweden Democrats support. Kristersson’s April announcement that he would grant the Sweden Democrats key cabinet roles on immigration and integration if re-elected has sharpened voter divisions without shifting the overall polling trend. These dynamics have kept Andersson probabilities elevated while capping gains for Kristersson and smaller-party alternatives.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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