Recent opinion polls from Ipsos, Demoskop, and Novus show Sweden’s Social Democrats holding a steady 32–34 percent lead ahead of the September 13, 2026 Riksdag election, giving Magdalena Andersson the strongest claim to form the next government. This positioning reflects sustained voter dissatisfaction with the Tidö coalition’s handling of immigration enforcement and economic conditions under incumbent Ulf Kristersson. Kristersson’s April announcement of plans for a four-party majority government that would include the Sweden Democrats has not reversed the projected narrow Red-Green seat advantage. In Sweden’s proportional system the leader of the largest party within the leading bloc conventionally becomes prime minister, which continues to anchor trader consensus around Andersson while keeping Kristersson’s implied probability well behind.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日マグダレナ・アンデション 69%
ウルフ・クリステルソン 29%
ジミー・オーケソン 2.2%
エバ・ブッシュ <1%
$1,954,312 Vol.
$1,954,312 Vol.
マグダレナ・アンデション
69%
ウルフ・クリステルソン
29%
ジミー・オーケソン
2%
エバ・ブッシュ
<1%
アンナ＝カリン・ハット
<1%
アマンダ・リンド
<1%
シモナ・モハムソン
<1%
ダニエル・ヘルデーン
<1%
ヌーシ・ダドゴスター
<1%
エリザベート・タンド・リングクヴィスト
<1%
マグダレナ・アンデション 69%
ウルフ・クリステルソン 29%
ジミー・オーケソン 2.2%
エバ・ブッシュ <1%
$1,954,312 Vol.
$1,954,312 Vol.
マグダレナ・アンデション
69%
ウルフ・クリステルソン
29%
ジミー・オーケソン
2%
エバ・ブッシュ
<1%
アンナ＝カリン・ハット
<1%
アマンダ・リンド
<1%
シモナ・モハムソン
<1%
ダニエル・ヘルデーン
<1%
ヌーシ・ダドゴスター
<1%
エリザベート・タンド・リングクヴィスト
<1%
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election.
To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Jan 19, 2026, 3:20 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election.
To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent opinion polls from Ipsos, Demoskop, and Novus show Sweden’s Social Democrats holding a steady 32–34 percent lead ahead of the September 13, 2026 Riksdag election, giving Magdalena Andersson the strongest claim to form the next government. This positioning reflects sustained voter dissatisfaction with the Tidö coalition’s handling of immigration enforcement and economic conditions under incumbent Ulf Kristersson. Kristersson’s April announcement of plans for a four-party majority government that would include the Sweden Democrats has not reversed the projected narrow Red-Green seat advantage. In Sweden’s proportional system the leader of the largest party within the leading bloc conventionally becomes prime minister, which continues to anchor trader consensus around Andersson while keeping Kristersson’s implied probability well behind.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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