Former North Carolina Governor Roy Cooper maintains a steady polling lead of 8 to 11 points over Republican Michael Whatley in recent surveys of likely voters, driving trader consensus toward the Democratic nominee in this open-seat contest. The race follows Republican incumbent Thom Tillis's decision not to seek reelection after the March primaries, where Cooper secured the Democratic nomination with minimal opposition and Whatley prevailed on the Republican side with endorsement from President Trump. Multiple April and May 2026 polls, including those from Harper, High Point University, and Opinion Diagnostics, show Cooper near 50 percent support, reflecting his strong statewide name recognition and history of winning in a state that has leaned Republican in presidential elections. While Whatley's party ties and recruitment efforts provide a competitive base, the current margin and Cook Political Report's lean-Democratic rating underpin the elevated probability for a Democratic victory in November.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$58,403 Vol.
$58,403 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
85%
共和党
17%
$58,403 Vol.
$58,403 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$24,125 Vol.
85%
共和党
$34,278 Vol.
17%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm North Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Former North Carolina Governor Roy Cooper maintains a steady polling lead of 8 to 11 points over Republican Michael Whatley in recent surveys of likely voters, driving trader consensus toward the Democratic nominee in this open-seat contest. The race follows Republican incumbent Thom Tillis's decision not to seek reelection after the March primaries, where Cooper secured the Democratic nomination with minimal opposition and Whatley prevailed on the Republican side with endorsement from President Trump. Multiple April and May 2026 polls, including those from Harper, High Point University, and Opinion Diagnostics, show Cooper near 50 percent support, reflecting his strong statewide name recognition and history of winning in a state that has leaned Republican in presidential elections. While Whatley's party ties and recruitment efforts provide a competitive base, the current margin and Cook Political Report's lean-Democratic rating underpin the elevated probability for a Democratic victory in November.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm North Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
マーケット開始日： Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
音量
$58,403終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm North Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Former North Carolina Governor Roy Cooper maintains a steady polling lead of 8 to 11 points over Republican Michael Whatley in recent surveys of likely voters, driving trader consensus toward the Democratic nominee in this open-seat contest. The race follows Republican incumbent Thom Tillis's decision not to seek reelection after the March primaries, where Cooper secured the Democratic nomination with minimal opposition and Whatley prevailed on the Republican side with endorsement from President Trump. Multiple April and May 2026 polls, including those from Harper, High Point University, and Opinion Diagnostics, show Cooper near 50 percent support, reflecting his strong statewide name recognition and history of winning in a state that has leaned Republican in presidential elections. While Whatley's party ties and recruitment efforts provide a competitive base, the current margin and Cook Political Report's lean-Democratic rating underpin the elevated probability for a Democratic victory in November.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm North Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
音量
$58,403終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Former North Carolina Governor Roy Cooper maintains a steady polling lead of 8 to 11 points over Republican Michael Whatley in recent surveys of likely voters, driving trader consensus toward the Democratic nominee in this open-seat contest. The race follows Republican incumbent Thom Tillis's decision not to seek reelection after the March primaries, where Cooper secured the Democratic nomination with minimal opposition and Whatley prevailed on the Republican side with endorsement from President Trump. Multiple April and May 2026 polls, including those from Harper, High Point University, and Opinion Diagnostics, show Cooper near 50 percent support, reflecting his strong statewide name recognition and history of winning in a state that has leaned Republican in presidential elections. While Whatley's party ties and recruitment efforts provide a competitive base, the current margin and Cook Political Report's lean-Democratic rating underpin the elevated probability for a Democratic victory in November.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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