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政治·ニューヨーク

NY -06民主党予備選挙優勝者

icon for NY -06民主党予備選挙優勝者
政治·ニューヨーク

NY -06民主党予備選挙優勝者

グレース・メン 91%

チャールズ・パーク 19.3%

ヤン・ション <1%

Polymarket
新規

グレース・メン 91%

チャールズ・パーク 19.3%

ヤン・ション <1%

Polymarket
新規

グレース・メン

$707 Vol.

91%

チャールズ・パーク

$520 Vol.

19%

ヤン・ション

$736 Vol.

24%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent U.S. Rep. Grace Meng dominates trader consensus at 90% implied probability for the NY-06 Democratic primary on June 23, bolstered by her long tenure since 2013, recent endorsements from State Sen. John Liu and the Unite Here hospitality union, and a scandal-free record in the Asian American-heavy Queens district. Challenger Charles Park, a former Obama-era diplomat mounting a progressive bid with backing from Sunrise NYC and local clubs, holds 23% amid limited grassroots visibility but faces headwinds from a May 14 report revealing his failure to file 2025 personal financial disclosures—due for 2026 by May 16—and internal party tensions favoring Meng. Army veteran Yan Xiong trails at 0.1% with minimal campaign traction. No recent polls available; upcoming early voting could shift dynamics.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$1,963
終了日
2026/06/23
マーケット開始日
Dec 19, 2025, 3:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent U.S. Rep. Grace Meng dominates trader consensus at 90% implied probability for the NY-06 Democratic primary on June 23, bolstered by her long tenure since 2013, recent endorsements from State Sen. John Liu and the Unite Here hospitality union, and a scandal-free record in the Asian American-heavy Queens district. Challenger Charles Park, a former Obama-era diplomat mounting a progressive bid with backing from Sunrise NYC and local clubs, holds 23% amid limited grassroots visibility but faces headwinds from a May 14 report revealing his failure to file 2025 personal financial disclosures—due for 2026 by May 16—and internal party tensions favoring Meng. Army veteran Yan Xiong trails at 0.1% with minimal campaign traction. No recent polls available; upcoming early voting could shift dynamics.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$1,963
終了日
2026/06/23
マーケット開始日
Dec 19, 2025, 3:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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よくある質問

「NY -06民主党予備選挙優勝者」はPolymarket上の3個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「グレース・メン」で91%、次いで「ヤン・ション」が24%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、91¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に91%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「NY -06民主党予備選挙優勝者」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です（Dec 19, 2025開始）。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「NY -06民主党予備選挙優勝者」で取引するには、このページに記載されている3個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「NY -06民主党予備選挙優勝者」の現在のフロントランナーは「グレース・メン」で91%であり、市場がこの結果に91%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「ヤン・ション」で24%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「NY -06民主党予備選挙優勝者」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。