The ruling Democratic Party of Korea holds a commanding position heading into the June 3, 2026, parliamentary by-elections for roughly 14 National Assembly seats, most vacated by its own members shifting to local races. President Lee Jae-myung’s approval ratings near 60 percent, combined with national polling that places the DP well ahead of the People Power Party, underpin trader expectations of a strong performance. Lingering fallout from the prior administration’s martial law episode continues to weigh on opposition prospects, while the concurrent nationwide local elections heighten the stakes for retaining parliamentary influence. These factors align with the market’s heavy weighting toward double-digit seat totals for the DP as the most probable outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日10以上 80.7%
8〜9 12.3%
2〜3 <1%
0〜1 <1%
$34,584 Vol.
$34,584 Vol.
2026/06/03
0〜1
<1%
2〜3
<1%
4〜5
<1%
6～7
<1%
8〜9
12%
10以上
77%
10以上 80.7%
8〜9 12.3%
2〜3 <1%
0〜1 <1%
$34,584 Vol.
$34,584 Vol.
2026/06/03
0〜1
$3,928 Vol.
<1%
2〜3
$5,328 Vol.
<1%
4〜5
$3,763 Vol.
<1%
6～7
$3,754 Vol.
<1%
8〜9
$4,426 Vol.
12%
10以上
$13,385 Vol.
77%
At least four South Korean parliamentary seats will be contested in by-elections on June 3, 2026, held alongside the nationwide local elections taking place on the same day. Re-elections are equivalent to by-elections for the purposes of this market.
This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won by the Democratic Party of Korea in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do).
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.The ruling Democratic Party of Korea holds a commanding position heading into the June 3, 2026, parliamentary by-elections for roughly 14 National Assembly seats, most vacated by its own members shifting to local races. President Lee Jae-myung’s approval ratings near 60 percent, combined with national polling that places the DP well ahead of the People Power Party, underpin trader expectations of a strong performance. Lingering fallout from the prior administration’s martial law episode continues to weigh on opposition prospects, while the concurrent nationwide local elections heighten the stakes for retaining parliamentary influence. These factors align with the market’s heavy weighting toward double-digit seat totals for the DP as the most probable outcome.
At least four South Korean parliamentary seats will be contested in by-elections on June 3, 2026, held alongside the nationwide local elections taking place on the same day. Re-elections are equivalent to by-elections for the purposes of this market.
This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won by the Democratic Party of Korea in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do).
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won by the Democratic Party of Korea in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do).
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
マーケット開始日： Feb 12, 2026, 4:13 PM ET
音量
$34,584終了日
2026/06/03マーケット開始日
Feb 12, 2026, 4:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...At least four South Korean parliamentary seats will be contested in by-elections on June 3, 2026, held alongside the nationwide local elections taking place on the same day. Re-elections are equivalent to by-elections for the purposes of this market.
This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won by the Democratic Party of Korea in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do).
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.The ruling Democratic Party of Korea holds a commanding position heading into the June 3, 2026, parliamentary by-elections for roughly 14 National Assembly seats, most vacated by its own members shifting to local races. President Lee Jae-myung’s approval ratings near 60 percent, combined with national polling that places the DP well ahead of the People Power Party, underpin trader expectations of a strong performance. Lingering fallout from the prior administration’s martial law episode continues to weigh on opposition prospects, while the concurrent nationwide local elections heighten the stakes for retaining parliamentary influence. These factors align with the market’s heavy weighting toward double-digit seat totals for the DP as the most probable outcome.
At least four South Korean parliamentary seats will be contested in by-elections on June 3, 2026, held alongside the nationwide local elections taking place on the same day. Re-elections are equivalent to by-elections for the purposes of this market.
This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won by the Democratic Party of Korea in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do).
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won by the Democratic Party of Korea in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do).
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
音量
$34,584終了日
2026/06/03マーケット開始日
Feb 12, 2026, 4:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The ruling Democratic Party of Korea holds a commanding position heading into the June 3, 2026, parliamentary by-elections for roughly 14 National Assembly seats, most vacated by its own members shifting to local races. President Lee Jae-myung’s approval ratings near 60 percent, combined with national polling that places the DP well ahead of the People Power Party, underpin trader expectations of a strong performance. Lingering fallout from the prior administration’s martial law episode continues to weigh on opposition prospects, while the concurrent nationwide local elections heighten the stakes for retaining parliamentary influence. These factors align with the market’s heavy weighting toward double-digit seat totals for the DP as the most probable outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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