Recent developments in South Korea's parliamentary by-elections, set for June 3 alongside nationwide local contests, have centered on the People Power Party's nomination process for roughly a dozen contested National Assembly seats vacated by resignations. Internal party frictions and a limited pool of fresh candidates have prompted reliance on veteran figures, while the Democratic Party has positioned the races as a direct assessment of conservative performance amid ongoing political recovery. High-profile independents, including former PPP leader Han Dong-hoon contesting a Busan district, along with competitive dynamics in swing constituencies, have tempered expectations for larger gains. These factors underpin the current trader consensus reflected in probabilities favoring two or three seats as the most probable outcomes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日3 49%
2 32%
1 9.7%
4 8.2%
$37,340 Vol.
$37,340 Vol.
0
3%
1
10%
2
32%
3
49%
4
8%
5
2%
6以上
1%
3 49%
2 32%
1 9.7%
4 8.2%
$37,340 Vol.
$37,340 Vol.
0
3%
1
10%
2
32%
3
49%
4
8%
5
2%
6以上
1%
This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the People Power Party (PP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won by the People Power Party in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do).
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
マーケット開始日: Feb 12, 2026, 4:14 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the People Power Party (PP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won by the People Power Party in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do).
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent developments in South Korea's parliamentary by-elections, set for June 3 alongside nationwide local contests, have centered on the People Power Party's nomination process for roughly a dozen contested National Assembly seats vacated by resignations. Internal party frictions and a limited pool of fresh candidates have prompted reliance on veteran figures, while the Democratic Party has positioned the races as a direct assessment of conservative performance amid ongoing political recovery. High-profile independents, including former PPP leader Han Dong-hoon contesting a Busan district, along with competitive dynamics in swing constituencies, have tempered expectations for larger gains. These factors underpin the current trader consensus reflected in probabilities favoring two or three seats as the most probable outcomes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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