Recent district-level polling in conservative strongholds such as Daegu Dalseong and Ulsan Nam-gu Gap shows PPP candidates holding leads over Democratic Party opponents, while races in Busan remain tighter following candidate finalization in early May. These localized advantages amid a national approval gap—PPP near 15-20 percent versus higher Democratic Party ratings—anchor trader expectations around three seats in the June 3 by-elections held alongside local contests. An independent conservative candidacy in one Busan district and third-party entries elsewhere introduce split-ticket dynamics that could affect turnout and unification. Scheduled voting on June 3 will determine final tallies across the contested National Assembly seats.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日3 49%
2 30%
4 8.1%
1 8.0%
$38,137 Vol.
$38,137 Vol.
2026/06/03
0
6%
1
8%
2
30%
3
49%
4
8%
5
2%
6以上
<1%
3 49%
2 30%
4 8.1%
1 8.0%
$38,137 Vol.
$38,137 Vol.
2026/06/03
0
$4,538 Vol.
6%
1
$4,491 Vol.
8%
2
$11,747 Vol.
30%
3
$5,623 Vol.
49%
4
$4,592 Vol.
8%
5
$2,440 Vol.
2%
6以上
$4,707 Vol.
<1%
At least four South Korean parliamentary seats will be contested in by-elections on June 3, 2026, held alongside the nationwide local elections taking place on the same day. Re-elections are equivalent to by-elections for the purposes of this market.
This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the People Power Party (PP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won by the People Power Party in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do).
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.Recent district-level polling in conservative strongholds such as Daegu Dalseong and Ulsan Nam-gu Gap shows PPP candidates holding leads over Democratic Party opponents, while races in Busan remain tighter following candidate finalization in early May. These localized advantages amid a national approval gap—PPP near 15-20 percent versus higher Democratic Party ratings—anchor trader expectations around three seats in the June 3 by-elections held alongside local contests. An independent conservative candidacy in one Busan district and third-party entries elsewhere introduce split-ticket dynamics that could affect turnout and unification. Scheduled voting on June 3 will determine final tallies across the contested National Assembly seats.
At least four South Korean parliamentary seats will be contested in by-elections on June 3, 2026, held alongside the nationwide local elections taking place on the same day. Re-elections are equivalent to by-elections for the purposes of this market.
This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the People Power Party (PP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won by the People Power Party in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do).
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the People Power Party (PP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won by the People Power Party in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do).
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
マーケット開始日： Feb 12, 2026, 4:14 PM ET
音量
$38,137終了日
2026/06/03マーケット開始日
Feb 12, 2026, 4:14 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...At least four South Korean parliamentary seats will be contested in by-elections on June 3, 2026, held alongside the nationwide local elections taking place on the same day. Re-elections are equivalent to by-elections for the purposes of this market.
This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the People Power Party (PP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won by the People Power Party in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do).
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.Recent district-level polling in conservative strongholds such as Daegu Dalseong and Ulsan Nam-gu Gap shows PPP candidates holding leads over Democratic Party opponents, while races in Busan remain tighter following candidate finalization in early May. These localized advantages amid a national approval gap—PPP near 15-20 percent versus higher Democratic Party ratings—anchor trader expectations around three seats in the June 3 by-elections held alongside local contests. An independent conservative candidacy in one Busan district and third-party entries elsewhere introduce split-ticket dynamics that could affect turnout and unification. Scheduled voting on June 3 will determine final tallies across the contested National Assembly seats.
At least four South Korean parliamentary seats will be contested in by-elections on June 3, 2026, held alongside the nationwide local elections taking place on the same day. Re-elections are equivalent to by-elections for the purposes of this market.
This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the People Power Party (PP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won by the People Power Party in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do).
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the People Power Party (PP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won by the People Power Party in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do).
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
音量
$38,137終了日
2026/06/03マーケット開始日
Feb 12, 2026, 4:14 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent district-level polling in conservative strongholds such as Daegu Dalseong and Ulsan Nam-gu Gap shows PPP candidates holding leads over Democratic Party opponents, while races in Busan remain tighter following candidate finalization in early May. These localized advantages amid a national approval gap—PPP near 15-20 percent versus higher Democratic Party ratings—anchor trader expectations around three seats in the June 3 by-elections held alongside local contests. An independent conservative candidacy in one Busan district and third-party entries elsewhere introduce split-ticket dynamics that could affect turnout and unification. Scheduled voting on June 3 will determine final tallies across the contested National Assembly seats.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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