Polymarket traders overwhelmingly price a 97.5% implied probability of no change in the People's Bank of China (PBOC) 7-day reverse repo rate through May 2026, reflecting sustained policy stability amid resilient economic momentum. April's Loan Prime Rate (LPR) held steady at 3.0% for one-year and 3.5% for five-year—its 11th consecutive month unchanged—bolstered by CPI inflation ticking up to 1.2% year-over-year (versus 1.0% prior) and PPI surging to 2.8% on commodity pressures, reducing urgency for easing. Recent Medium-term Lending Facility (MLF) injections have maintained ample liquidity without rate tweaks. Challenges could arise from unexpected demand weakness or global shocks prompting a cut, though imported inflation risks flagged in PBOC's Q1 report reinforce the hold consensus ahead of mid-May MLF and May 20 LPR announcements.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日No Change 97.4%
Decrease 4.2%
Increase <1%
新規
新規
2026/05/31
Increase
1%
No Change
97%
Decrease
6%
No Change 97.4%
Decrease 4.2%
Increase <1%
新規
新規
2026/05/31
Increase
$1,100 Vol.
1%
No Change
$1,989 Vol.
97%
Decrease
$947 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the first change made to the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) 7-day reverse repo rate between May 1 and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time (CST).
An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
A “decrease” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
If the People’s Bank of China does not change the 7-day reverse repo rate by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket.
An official announcement of a change to the PBoC 7-day Reverse Repo Rate within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the rate change is stated to go into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People’s Bank of China, including PBoC Open Market Operations announcements (https://www.pbc.gov.cn/en/3688110/3688181/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting on a change to the 7-day reverse repo rate may also be used.Polymarket traders overwhelmingly price a 97.5% implied probability of no change in the People's Bank of China (PBOC) 7-day reverse repo rate through May 2026, reflecting sustained policy stability amid resilient economic momentum. April's Loan Prime Rate (LPR) held steady at 3.0% for one-year and 3.5% for five-year—its 11th consecutive month unchanged—bolstered by CPI inflation ticking up to 1.2% year-over-year (versus 1.0% prior) and PPI surging to 2.8% on commodity pressures, reducing urgency for easing. Recent Medium-term Lending Facility (MLF) injections have maintained ample liquidity without rate tweaks. Challenges could arise from unexpected demand weakness or global shocks prompting a cut, though imported inflation risks flagged in PBOC's Q1 report reinforce the hold consensus ahead of mid-May MLF and May 20 LPR announcements.
This market will resolve according to the first change made to the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) 7-day reverse repo rate between May 1 and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time (CST).
An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
A “decrease” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
If the People’s Bank of China does not change the 7-day reverse repo rate by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket.
An official announcement of a change to the PBoC 7-day Reverse Repo Rate within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the rate change is stated to go into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People’s Bank of China, including PBoC Open Market Operations announcements (https://www.pbc.gov.cn/en/3688110/3688181/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting on a change to the 7-day reverse repo rate may also be used.
An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
A “decrease” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
If the People’s Bank of China does not change the 7-day reverse repo rate by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket.
An official announcement of a change to the PBoC 7-day Reverse Repo Rate within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the rate change is stated to go into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People’s Bank of China, including PBoC Open Market Operations announcements (https://www.pbc.gov.cn/en/3688110/3688181/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting on a change to the 7-day reverse repo rate may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ET
音量
$4,036終了日
2026/05/31マーケット開始日
Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the first change made to the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) 7-day reverse repo rate between May 1 and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time (CST).
An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
A “decrease” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
If the People’s Bank of China does not change the 7-day reverse repo rate by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket.
An official announcement of a change to the PBoC 7-day Reverse Repo Rate within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the rate change is stated to go into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People’s Bank of China, including PBoC Open Market Operations announcements (https://www.pbc.gov.cn/en/3688110/3688181/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting on a change to the 7-day reverse repo rate may also be used.Polymarket traders overwhelmingly price a 97.5% implied probability of no change in the People's Bank of China (PBOC) 7-day reverse repo rate through May 2026, reflecting sustained policy stability amid resilient economic momentum. April's Loan Prime Rate (LPR) held steady at 3.0% for one-year and 3.5% for five-year—its 11th consecutive month unchanged—bolstered by CPI inflation ticking up to 1.2% year-over-year (versus 1.0% prior) and PPI surging to 2.8% on commodity pressures, reducing urgency for easing. Recent Medium-term Lending Facility (MLF) injections have maintained ample liquidity without rate tweaks. Challenges could arise from unexpected demand weakness or global shocks prompting a cut, though imported inflation risks flagged in PBOC's Q1 report reinforce the hold consensus ahead of mid-May MLF and May 20 LPR announcements.
This market will resolve according to the first change made to the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) 7-day reverse repo rate between May 1 and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time (CST).
An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
A “decrease” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
If the People’s Bank of China does not change the 7-day reverse repo rate by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket.
An official announcement of a change to the PBoC 7-day Reverse Repo Rate within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the rate change is stated to go into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People’s Bank of China, including PBoC Open Market Operations announcements (https://www.pbc.gov.cn/en/3688110/3688181/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting on a change to the 7-day reverse repo rate may also be used.
An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
A “decrease” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
If the People’s Bank of China does not change the 7-day reverse repo rate by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket.
An official announcement of a change to the PBoC 7-day Reverse Repo Rate within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the rate change is stated to go into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People’s Bank of China, including PBoC Open Market Operations announcements (https://www.pbc.gov.cn/en/3688110/3688181/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting on a change to the 7-day reverse repo rate may also be used.
音量
$4,036終了日
2026/05/31マーケット開始日
Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Polymarket traders overwhelmingly price a 97.5% implied probability of no change in the People's Bank of China (PBOC) 7-day reverse repo rate through May 2026, reflecting sustained policy stability amid resilient economic momentum. April's Loan Prime Rate (LPR) held steady at 3.0% for one-year and 3.5% for five-year—its 11th consecutive month unchanged—bolstered by CPI inflation ticking up to 1.2% year-over-year (versus 1.0% prior) and PPI surging to 2.8% on commodity pressures, reducing urgency for easing. Recent Medium-term Lending Facility (MLF) injections have maintained ample liquidity without rate tweaks. Challenges could arise from unexpected demand weakness or global shocks prompting a cut, though imported inflation risks flagged in PBOC's Q1 report reinforce the hold consensus ahead of mid-May MLF and May 20 LPR announcements.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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