Keiko Fujimori secured a commanding lead in Peru's April 2026 first-round presidential vote through her established conservative base and the extreme fragmentation of a 35-candidate field. With nearly all ballots counted, she holds roughly 17 percent, creating a margin exceeding five points over second-place finisher Roberto Sánchez. Reduced anti-Fujimorismo sentiment following her father's 2024 death, combined with her party's congressional influence, helped consolidate support amid widespread voter dissatisfaction with corruption and instability. A runoff against Sánchez is now set for June, though late procedural disputes or turnout shifts in remaining districts could still narrow the first-round gap. Trader consensus reflects these verified results and the low probability of any challenger closing the distance.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日ケイコ・フジモリ 5％以上 99.6%
その他 <1%
ラファエル・ロペス・アリアガ 15%+ <1%
ラファエル・ロペス・アリアガ 10-15% <1%
$521,773 Vol.
$521,773 Vol.
2026/04/12
ラファエル・ロペス・アリアガ 15%+
<1%
ラファエル・ロペス・アリアガ 10-15%
<1%
ラファエル・ロペス・アリアガ 5-10％
<1%
ラファエル・ロペス・アリアガ <5％
<1%
アルフォンソ・ロペス・チャウ 5％以上
<1%
アルフォンソ・ロペス・チャウ <5％
<1%
ケイコ・フジモリ 5％以上
100%
ケイコ・フジモリ <5％
<1%
ホルヘ・ニエト
<1%
ロベルト・サンチェス・パロミノ
<1%
ヴォルフガング・グロゾ
<1%
カルロス・アルバレス
<1%
その他
1%
ケイコ・フジモリ 5％以上 99.6%
その他 <1%
ラファエル・ロペス・アリアガ 15%+ <1%
ラファエル・ロペス・アリアガ 10-15% <1%
$521,773 Vol.
$521,773 Vol.
2026/04/12
ラファエル・ロペス・アリアガ 15%+
$10,673 Vol.
<1%
ラファエル・ロペス・アリアガ 10-15%
$12,077 Vol.
<1%
ラファエル・ロペス・アリアガ 5-10％
$8,344 Vol.
<1%
ラファエル・ロペス・アリアガ <5％
$20,070 Vol.
<1%
アルフォンソ・ロペス・チャウ 5％以上
$7,219 Vol.
<1%
アルフォンソ・ロペス・チャウ <5％
$6,302 Vol.
<1%
ケイコ・フジモリ 5％以上
$162,138 Vol.
100%
ケイコ・フジモリ <5％
$209,115 Vol.
<1%
ホルヘ・ニエト
$16,948 Vol.
<1%
ロベルト・サンチェス・パロミノ
$20,796 Vol.
<1%
ヴォルフガング・グロゾ
$4,675 Vol.
<1%
カルロス・アルバレス
$6,118 Vol.
<1%
その他
$37,298 Vol.
1%
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Keiko Fujimori secured a commanding lead in Peru's April 2026 first-round presidential vote through her established conservative base and the extreme fragmentation of a 35-candidate field. With nearly all ballots counted, she holds roughly 17 percent, creating a margin exceeding five points over second-place finisher Roberto Sánchez. Reduced anti-Fujimorismo sentiment following her father's 2024 death, combined with her party's congressional influence, helped consolidate support amid widespread voter dissatisfaction with corruption and instability. A runoff against Sánchez is now set for June, though late procedural disputes or turnout shifts in remaining districts could still narrow the first-round gap. Trader consensus reflects these verified results and the low probability of any challenger closing the distance.
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
マーケット開始日： Mar 23, 2026, 2:02 PM ET
音量
$521,773終了日
2026/04/12マーケット開始日
Mar 23, 2026, 2:02 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Keiko Fujimori secured a commanding lead in Peru's April 2026 first-round presidential vote through her established conservative base and the extreme fragmentation of a 35-candidate field. With nearly all ballots counted, she holds roughly 17 percent, creating a margin exceeding five points over second-place finisher Roberto Sánchez. Reduced anti-Fujimorismo sentiment following her father's 2024 death, combined with her party's congressional influence, helped consolidate support amid widespread voter dissatisfaction with corruption and instability. A runoff against Sánchez is now set for June, though late procedural disputes or turnout shifts in remaining districts could still narrow the first-round gap. Trader consensus reflects these verified results and the low probability of any challenger closing the distance.
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
音量
$521,773終了日
2026/04/12マーケット開始日
Mar 23, 2026, 2:02 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Keiko Fujimori secured a commanding lead in Peru's April 2026 first-round presidential vote through her established conservative base and the extreme fragmentation of a 35-candidate field. With nearly all ballots counted, she holds roughly 17 percent, creating a margin exceeding five points over second-place finisher Roberto Sánchez. Reduced anti-Fujimorismo sentiment following her father's 2024 death, combined with her party's congressional influence, helped consolidate support amid widespread voter dissatisfaction with corruption and instability. A runoff against Sánchez is now set for June, though late procedural disputes or turnout shifts in remaining districts could still narrow the first-round gap. Trader consensus reflects these verified results and the low probability of any challenger closing the distance.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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