Recent Swedish polling ahead of the September 13 election shows the Social Democrats, Sweden Democrats, and Moderates firmly ahead as the top three parties, leaving fifth place contested among smaller groups. The Centre Party, Christian Democrats, and Greens cluster near 6–8% support, while the Left Party hovers slightly lower and the Liberals risk falling below the 4% threshold. This distribution keeps implied probabilities for fifth place closely matched across those mid-tier options, with traders pricing in limited recent movement and the impact of undecided voters plus bloc dynamics on final seat rankings. Any late polling shifts among these parties or turnout variations could alter the ordering before votes are cast.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Centre Party (C) 32%
Green Party (MP) 32%
Left Party (V) 20%
Christian Democrats (KD) 17%
新規
新規
2026/09/13
Centre Party (C)
32%
Green Party (MP)
32%
Left Party (V)
20%
Christian Democrats (KD)
33%
Liberals (L)
9%
Sweden Democrats (SD)
5%
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
5%
Moderate Party (M)
5%
Citizens' Coalition (MED)
3%
Centre Party (C) 32%
Green Party (MP) 32%
Left Party (V) 20%
Christian Democrats (KD) 17%
新規
新規
2026/09/13
Centre Party (C)
$38 Vol.
32%
Green Party (MP)
$38 Vol.
32%
Left Party (V)
$58 Vol.
20%
Christian Democrats (KD)
$47 Vol.
33%
Liberals (L)
$38 Vol.
9%
Sweden Democrats (SD)
$120 Vol.
5%
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
$129 Vol.
5%
Moderate Party (M)
$308 Vol.
5%
Citizens' Coalition (MED)
$136 Vol.
3%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the fifth-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fifth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent Swedish polling ahead of the September 13 election shows the Social Democrats, Sweden Democrats, and Moderates firmly ahead as the top three parties, leaving fifth place contested among smaller groups. The Centre Party, Christian Democrats, and Greens cluster near 6–8% support, while the Left Party hovers slightly lower and the Liberals risk falling below the 4% threshold. This distribution keeps implied probabilities for fifth place closely matched across those mid-tier options, with traders pricing in limited recent movement and the impact of undecided voters plus bloc dynamics on final seat rankings. Any late polling shifts among these parties or turnout variations could alter the ordering before votes are cast.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the fifth-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fifth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the fifth-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fifth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
マーケット開始日： Aug 13, 2026, 5:05 AM ET
音量
$912終了日
2026/09/13マーケット開始日
Aug 13, 2026, 5:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the fifth-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fifth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent Swedish polling ahead of the September 13 election shows the Social Democrats, Sweden Democrats, and Moderates firmly ahead as the top three parties, leaving fifth place contested among smaller groups. The Centre Party, Christian Democrats, and Greens cluster near 6–8% support, while the Left Party hovers slightly lower and the Liberals risk falling below the 4% threshold. This distribution keeps implied probabilities for fifth place closely matched across those mid-tier options, with traders pricing in limited recent movement and the impact of undecided voters plus bloc dynamics on final seat rankings. Any late polling shifts among these parties or turnout variations could alter the ordering before votes are cast.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the fifth-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fifth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the fifth-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fifth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
音量
$912終了日
2026/09/13マーケット開始日
Aug 13, 2026, 5:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Swedish polling ahead of the September 13 election shows the Social Democrats, Sweden Democrats, and Moderates firmly ahead as the top three parties, leaving fifth place contested among smaller groups. The Centre Party, Christian Democrats, and Greens cluster near 6–8% support, while the Left Party hovers slightly lower and the Liberals risk falling below the 4% threshold. This distribution keeps implied probabilities for fifth place closely matched across those mid-tier options, with traders pricing in limited recent movement and the impact of undecided voters plus bloc dynamics on final seat rankings. Any late polling shifts among these parties or turnout variations could alter the ordering before votes are cast.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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