The agreement between South Korea’s Democratic Party and Progressive Party to unify behind a single Ulsan mayoral candidate through a May 23–24 opinion-poll primary has reshaped the June 3 local election contest. Kim Sang-wook now consolidates liberal support previously split with Kim Jong-hoon and the withdrawn Cho Kuk Innovation Party contender, narrowing the race to a head-to-head matchup against incumbent People Power Party Mayor Kim Doo-kyum. Pre-unification surveys showed Doo-kyum holding a slim edge in a fragmented field, but the consolidation has shifted trader-implied probabilities toward Sang-wook by concentrating opposition votes in a city with strong Hyundai labor influence. Independent Park Maeng-woo remains a marginal factor.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Kim Sang-wook 62%
Kim Doo-kyum 42%
キム・ジョンフン 1.3%
パク・メンウ <1%
$40,209 Vol.
$40,209 Vol.

Kim Sang-wook
62%

Kim Doo-kyum
42%

キム・ジョンフン
1%

パク・メンウ
<1%
Kim Sang-wook 62%
Kim Doo-kyum 42%
キム・ジョンフン 1.3%
パク・メンウ <1%
$40,209 Vol.
$40,209 Vol.

Kim Sang-wook
62%

Kim Doo-kyum
42%

キム・ジョンフン
1%

パク・メンウ
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Interim, temporary, or caretaker mayors will not count.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
マーケット開始日: Apr 23, 2026, 6:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Interim, temporary, or caretaker mayors will not count.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The agreement between South Korea’s Democratic Party and Progressive Party to unify behind a single Ulsan mayoral candidate through a May 23–24 opinion-poll primary has reshaped the June 3 local election contest. Kim Sang-wook now consolidates liberal support previously split with Kim Jong-hoon and the withdrawn Cho Kuk Innovation Party contender, narrowing the race to a head-to-head matchup against incumbent People Power Party Mayor Kim Doo-kyum. Pre-unification surveys showed Doo-kyum holding a slim edge in a fragmented field, but the consolidation has shifted trader-implied probabilities toward Sang-wook by concentrating opposition votes in a city with strong Hyundai labor influence. Independent Park Maeng-woo remains a marginal factor.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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