U.S. officials have pursued enhanced security cooperation with Panama through memoranda of understanding, joint training exercises, and priority transit rights for American vessels, while supporting Panamanian legal actions against foreign port concessions. These steps have addressed concerns over external influence without altering canal sovereignty or triggering military intervention. Diplomatic engagement and rotational U.S. access at existing facilities have reduced escalation risks through mid-2026. Trader consensus at 96% for no U.S. takeover reflects this cooperative trajectory and the absence of authorizing conditions under neutrality treaties. Late developments such as a sharp deterioration in bilateral ties, renewed foreign port control disputes, or explicit U.S. policy reversal could still introduce limited uncertainty before the 2027 cutoff.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
4% 確率
$165,820 Vol.
$165,820 Vol.
2026/12/31
はい
4% 確率
$165,820 Vol.
$165,820 Vol.
2026/12/31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Panama Canal comes under US control by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, US control means the United States assumes primary operational authority over the canal, either via diplomatic agreement, military action, or any other means.
An official announcement made by the United States and Panama that the Panama Canal will come under US control will qualify, even if the actual transfer of control is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government and the Government of Panama, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that the Panama Canal has come under US sovereignty will also qualify.U.S. officials have pursued enhanced security cooperation with Panama through memoranda of understanding, joint training exercises, and priority transit rights for American vessels, while supporting Panamanian legal actions against foreign port concessions. These steps have addressed concerns over external influence without altering canal sovereignty or triggering military intervention. Diplomatic engagement and rotational U.S. access at existing facilities have reduced escalation risks through mid-2026. Trader consensus at 96% for no U.S. takeover reflects this cooperative trajectory and the absence of authorizing conditions under neutrality treaties. Late developments such as a sharp deterioration in bilateral ties, renewed foreign port control disputes, or explicit U.S. policy reversal could still introduce limited uncertainty before the 2027 cutoff.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Panama Canal comes under US control by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, US control means the United States assumes primary operational authority over the canal, either via diplomatic agreement, military action, or any other means.
An official announcement made by the United States and Panama that the Panama Canal will come under US control will qualify, even if the actual transfer of control is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government and the Government of Panama, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that the Panama Canal has come under US sovereignty will also qualify.
For the purposes of this market, US control means the United States assumes primary operational authority over the canal, either via diplomatic agreement, military action, or any other means.
An official announcement made by the United States and Panama that the Panama Canal will come under US control will qualify, even if the actual transfer of control is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government and the Government of Panama, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that the Panama Canal has come under US sovereignty will also qualify.
マーケット開始日： Nov 13, 2025, 4:44 PM ET
音量
$165,820終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Nov 13, 2025, 4:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Panama Canal comes under US control by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, US control means the United States assumes primary operational authority over the canal, either via diplomatic agreement, military action, or any other means.
An official announcement made by the United States and Panama that the Panama Canal will come under US control will qualify, even if the actual transfer of control is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government and the Government of Panama, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that the Panama Canal has come under US sovereignty will also qualify.U.S. officials have pursued enhanced security cooperation with Panama through memoranda of understanding, joint training exercises, and priority transit rights for American vessels, while supporting Panamanian legal actions against foreign port concessions. These steps have addressed concerns over external influence without altering canal sovereignty or triggering military intervention. Diplomatic engagement and rotational U.S. access at existing facilities have reduced escalation risks through mid-2026. Trader consensus at 96% for no U.S. takeover reflects this cooperative trajectory and the absence of authorizing conditions under neutrality treaties. Late developments such as a sharp deterioration in bilateral ties, renewed foreign port control disputes, or explicit U.S. policy reversal could still introduce limited uncertainty before the 2027 cutoff.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Panama Canal comes under US control by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, US control means the United States assumes primary operational authority over the canal, either via diplomatic agreement, military action, or any other means.
An official announcement made by the United States and Panama that the Panama Canal will come under US control will qualify, even if the actual transfer of control is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government and the Government of Panama, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that the Panama Canal has come under US sovereignty will also qualify.
For the purposes of this market, US control means the United States assumes primary operational authority over the canal, either via diplomatic agreement, military action, or any other means.
An official announcement made by the United States and Panama that the Panama Canal will come under US control will qualify, even if the actual transfer of control is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government and the Government of Panama, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that the Panama Canal has come under US sovereignty will also qualify.
音量
$165,820終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Nov 13, 2025, 4:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...U.S. officials have pursued enhanced security cooperation with Panama through memoranda of understanding, joint training exercises, and priority transit rights for American vessels, while supporting Panamanian legal actions against foreign port concessions. These steps have addressed concerns over external influence without altering canal sovereignty or triggering military intervention. Diplomatic engagement and rotational U.S. access at existing facilities have reduced escalation risks through mid-2026. Trader consensus at 96% for no U.S. takeover reflects this cooperative trajectory and the absence of authorizing conditions under neutrality treaties. Late developments such as a sharp deterioration in bilateral ties, renewed foreign port control disputes, or explicit U.S. policy reversal could still introduce limited uncertainty before the 2027 cutoff.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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