**US pressure on Panama has focused on curbing Chinese-linked port operations and influence through diplomacy, legal rulings, and security cooperation rather than military seizure of the canal itself.** Panama's government seized two key terminals from a Hong Kong operator in February 2026 following its Supreme Court decision, withdrew from China's Belt and Road Initiative, and agreed to limited US troop rotations and audits—steps viewed as addressing Washington’s priorities without violating the 1977 Neutrality Treaty. These developments, combined with high economic and diplomatic costs of any forcible takeover, underpin traders’ strong consensus against US control by the end of 2026. Realistic shifts could stem from a sudden reversal of Panamanian cooperation, major new Chinese infrastructure gains, or an unforeseen regional crisis forcing escalation, though no such triggers appear imminent.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
4% 確率
$165,820 Vol.
$165,820 Vol.
2026/12/31
はい
4% 確率
$165,820 Vol.
$165,820 Vol.
2026/12/31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Panama Canal comes under US control by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, US control means the United States assumes primary operational authority over the canal, either via diplomatic agreement, military action, or any other means.
An official announcement made by the United States and Panama that the Panama Canal will come under US control will qualify, even if the actual transfer of control is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government and the Government of Panama, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that the Panama Canal has come under US sovereignty will also qualify.**US pressure on Panama has focused on curbing Chinese-linked port operations and influence through diplomacy, legal rulings, and security cooperation rather than military seizure of the canal itself.** Panama's government seized two key terminals from a Hong Kong operator in February 2026 following its Supreme Court decision, withdrew from China's Belt and Road Initiative, and agreed to limited US troop rotations and audits—steps viewed as addressing Washington’s priorities without violating the 1977 Neutrality Treaty. These developments, combined with high economic and diplomatic costs of any forcible takeover, underpin traders’ strong consensus against US control by the end of 2026. Realistic shifts could stem from a sudden reversal of Panamanian cooperation, major new Chinese infrastructure gains, or an unforeseen regional crisis forcing escalation, though no such triggers appear imminent.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Panama Canal comes under US control by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, US control means the United States assumes primary operational authority over the canal, either via diplomatic agreement, military action, or any other means.
An official announcement made by the United States and Panama that the Panama Canal will come under US control will qualify, even if the actual transfer of control is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government and the Government of Panama, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that the Panama Canal has come under US sovereignty will also qualify.
For the purposes of this market, US control means the United States assumes primary operational authority over the canal, either via diplomatic agreement, military action, or any other means.
An official announcement made by the United States and Panama that the Panama Canal will come under US control will qualify, even if the actual transfer of control is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government and the Government of Panama, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that the Panama Canal has come under US sovereignty will also qualify.
マーケット開始日： Nov 13, 2025, 4:44 PM ET
音量
$165,820終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Nov 13, 2025, 4:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Panama Canal comes under US control by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, US control means the United States assumes primary operational authority over the canal, either via diplomatic agreement, military action, or any other means.
An official announcement made by the United States and Panama that the Panama Canal will come under US control will qualify, even if the actual transfer of control is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government and the Government of Panama, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that the Panama Canal has come under US sovereignty will also qualify.**US pressure on Panama has focused on curbing Chinese-linked port operations and influence through diplomacy, legal rulings, and security cooperation rather than military seizure of the canal itself.** Panama's government seized two key terminals from a Hong Kong operator in February 2026 following its Supreme Court decision, withdrew from China's Belt and Road Initiative, and agreed to limited US troop rotations and audits—steps viewed as addressing Washington’s priorities without violating the 1977 Neutrality Treaty. These developments, combined with high economic and diplomatic costs of any forcible takeover, underpin traders’ strong consensus against US control by the end of 2026. Realistic shifts could stem from a sudden reversal of Panamanian cooperation, major new Chinese infrastructure gains, or an unforeseen regional crisis forcing escalation, though no such triggers appear imminent.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Panama Canal comes under US control by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, US control means the United States assumes primary operational authority over the canal, either via diplomatic agreement, military action, or any other means.
An official announcement made by the United States and Panama that the Panama Canal will come under US control will qualify, even if the actual transfer of control is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government and the Government of Panama, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that the Panama Canal has come under US sovereignty will also qualify.
For the purposes of this market, US control means the United States assumes primary operational authority over the canal, either via diplomatic agreement, military action, or any other means.
An official announcement made by the United States and Panama that the Panama Canal will come under US control will qualify, even if the actual transfer of control is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government and the Government of Panama, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that the Panama Canal has come under US sovereignty will also qualify.
音量
$165,820終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Nov 13, 2025, 4:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**US pressure on Panama has focused on curbing Chinese-linked port operations and influence through diplomacy, legal rulings, and security cooperation rather than military seizure of the canal itself.** Panama's government seized two key terminals from a Hong Kong operator in February 2026 following its Supreme Court decision, withdrew from China's Belt and Road Initiative, and agreed to limited US troop rotations and audits—steps viewed as addressing Washington’s priorities without violating the 1977 Neutrality Treaty. These developments, combined with high economic and diplomatic costs of any forcible takeover, underpin traders’ strong consensus against US control by the end of 2026. Realistic shifts could stem from a sudden reversal of Panamanian cooperation, major new Chinese infrastructure gains, or an unforeseen regional crisis forcing escalation, though no such triggers appear imminent.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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