Trader consensus prices "No" at 90.5% on US seizure of the Panama Canal before 2027, reflecting Panama's firm sovereignty under the 1977 Torrijos-Carter Treaties, which transferred full control in 1999 and prohibit forcible reclamation. Early 2025 rhetoric from President Trump on retaking the waterway amid Chinese port influence has shifted to diplomatic partnerships, including US-backed joint exercises like PANAMAX and a April 29, 2026, statement with allies affirming Panama's authority after its Supreme Court voided Hong Kong firm CK Hutchison's port contracts in January. Panama President Mulino's April 30 remarks framed the ports row as a US-China tussle, with no US military actions or intervention signals; instead, expanded security cooperation deters escalation while upholding international norms. Late-breaking diplomatic shifts or legal challenges could alter odds, but structural barriers remain high.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
$71,696 Vol.
$71,696 Vol.
2026/12/31
はい
$71,696 Vol.
$71,696 Vol.
2026/12/31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Panama Canal comes under US control by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, US control means the United States assumes primary operational authority over the canal, either via diplomatic agreement, military action, or any other means.
An official announcement made by the United States and Panama that the Panama Canal will come under US control will qualify, even if the actual transfer of control is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government and the Government of Panama, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that the Panama Canal has come under US sovereignty will also qualify.Trader consensus prices "No" at 90.5% on US seizure of the Panama Canal before 2027, reflecting Panama's firm sovereignty under the 1977 Torrijos-Carter Treaties, which transferred full control in 1999 and prohibit forcible reclamation. Early 2025 rhetoric from President Trump on retaking the waterway amid Chinese port influence has shifted to diplomatic partnerships, including US-backed joint exercises like PANAMAX and a April 29, 2026, statement with allies affirming Panama's authority after its Supreme Court voided Hong Kong firm CK Hutchison's port contracts in January. Panama President Mulino's April 30 remarks framed the ports row as a US-China tussle, with no US military actions or intervention signals; instead, expanded security cooperation deters escalation while upholding international norms. Late-breaking diplomatic shifts or legal challenges could alter odds, but structural barriers remain high.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Panama Canal comes under US control by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, US control means the United States assumes primary operational authority over the canal, either via diplomatic agreement, military action, or any other means.
An official announcement made by the United States and Panama that the Panama Canal will come under US control will qualify, even if the actual transfer of control is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government and the Government of Panama, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that the Panama Canal has come under US sovereignty will also qualify.
For the purposes of this market, US control means the United States assumes primary operational authority over the canal, either via diplomatic agreement, military action, or any other means.
An official announcement made by the United States and Panama that the Panama Canal will come under US control will qualify, even if the actual transfer of control is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government and the Government of Panama, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that the Panama Canal has come under US sovereignty will also qualify.
マーケット開始日： Nov 13, 2025, 4:44 PM ET
音量
$71,696終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Nov 13, 2025, 4:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Panama Canal comes under US control by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, US control means the United States assumes primary operational authority over the canal, either via diplomatic agreement, military action, or any other means.
An official announcement made by the United States and Panama that the Panama Canal will come under US control will qualify, even if the actual transfer of control is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government and the Government of Panama, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that the Panama Canal has come under US sovereignty will also qualify.Trader consensus prices "No" at 90.5% on US seizure of the Panama Canal before 2027, reflecting Panama's firm sovereignty under the 1977 Torrijos-Carter Treaties, which transferred full control in 1999 and prohibit forcible reclamation. Early 2025 rhetoric from President Trump on retaking the waterway amid Chinese port influence has shifted to diplomatic partnerships, including US-backed joint exercises like PANAMAX and a April 29, 2026, statement with allies affirming Panama's authority after its Supreme Court voided Hong Kong firm CK Hutchison's port contracts in January. Panama President Mulino's April 30 remarks framed the ports row as a US-China tussle, with no US military actions or intervention signals; instead, expanded security cooperation deters escalation while upholding international norms. Late-breaking diplomatic shifts or legal challenges could alter odds, but structural barriers remain high.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Panama Canal comes under US control by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, US control means the United States assumes primary operational authority over the canal, either via diplomatic agreement, military action, or any other means.
An official announcement made by the United States and Panama that the Panama Canal will come under US control will qualify, even if the actual transfer of control is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government and the Government of Panama, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that the Panama Canal has come under US sovereignty will also qualify.
For the purposes of this market, US control means the United States assumes primary operational authority over the canal, either via diplomatic agreement, military action, or any other means.
An official announcement made by the United States and Panama that the Panama Canal will come under US control will qualify, even if the actual transfer of control is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government and the Government of Panama, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that the Panama Canal has come under US sovereignty will also qualify.
音量
$71,696終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Nov 13, 2025, 4:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "No" at 90.5% on US seizure of the Panama Canal before 2027, reflecting Panama's firm sovereignty under the 1977 Torrijos-Carter Treaties, which transferred full control in 1999 and prohibit forcible reclamation. Early 2025 rhetoric from President Trump on retaking the waterway amid Chinese port influence has shifted to diplomatic partnerships, including US-backed joint exercises like PANAMAX and a April 29, 2026, statement with allies affirming Panama's authority after its Supreme Court voided Hong Kong firm CK Hutchison's port contracts in January. Panama President Mulino's April 30 remarks framed the ports row as a US-China tussle, with no US military actions or intervention signals; instead, expanded security cooperation deters escalation while upholding international norms. Late-breaking diplomatic shifts or legal challenges could alter odds, but structural barriers remain high.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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