Recent high-level US-China economic talks have produced concrete progress on reciprocal tariff reductions for non-sensitive goods, including carve-outs agreed during September 20 meetings between Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and Vice Premier He Lifeng. These sessions, framed as groundwork for the September 24 Trump-Xi summit, advance mechanisms established at the May 2026 Beijing summit through bilateral Boards of Trade and Investment targeting roughly $30 billion in mutual tariff relief. Ongoing negotiations address the fragile trade truce expiring November 10, alongside commitments on agricultural purchases, critical minerals, and related market access. The resulting trader consensus reflects sustained diplomatic momentum and institutional channels positioned to deliver a publicly announced mutual tariff agreement before year-end.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日91% 確率
$261,513 Vol.
$261,513 Vol.
2026/12/31
91% 確率
$261,513 Vol.
$261,513 Vol.
2026/12/31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Recent high-level US-China economic talks have produced concrete progress on reciprocal tariff reductions for non-sensitive goods, including carve-outs agreed during September 20 meetings between Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and Vice Premier He Lifeng. These sessions, framed as groundwork for the September 24 Trump-Xi summit, advance mechanisms established at the May 2026 Beijing summit through bilateral Boards of Trade and Investment targeting roughly $30 billion in mutual tariff relief. Ongoing negotiations address the fragile trade truce expiring November 10, alongside commitments on agricultural purchases, critical minerals, and related market access. The resulting trader consensus reflects sustained diplomatic momentum and institutional channels positioned to deliver a publicly announced mutual tariff agreement before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
マーケット開始日： May 29, 2026, 9:10 AM ET
音量
$261,513終了日
2027/01/01マーケット開始日
May 29, 2026, 9:10 AM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Recent high-level US-China economic talks have produced concrete progress on reciprocal tariff reductions for non-sensitive goods, including carve-outs agreed during September 20 meetings between Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and Vice Premier He Lifeng. These sessions, framed as groundwork for the September 24 Trump-Xi summit, advance mechanisms established at the May 2026 Beijing summit through bilateral Boards of Trade and Investment targeting roughly $30 billion in mutual tariff relief. Ongoing negotiations address the fragile trade truce expiring November 10, alongside commitments on agricultural purchases, critical minerals, and related market access. The resulting trader consensus reflects sustained diplomatic momentum and institutional channels positioned to deliver a publicly announced mutual tariff agreement before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
音量
$261,513終了日
2027/01/01マーケット開始日
May 29, 2026, 9:10 AM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...Recent high-level US-China economic talks have produced concrete progress on reciprocal tariff reductions for non-sensitive goods, including carve-outs agreed during September 20 meetings between Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and Vice Premier He Lifeng. These sessions, framed as groundwork for the September 24 Trump-Xi summit, advance mechanisms established at the May 2026 Beijing summit through bilateral Boards of Trade and Investment targeting roughly $30 billion in mutual tariff relief. Ongoing negotiations address the fragile trade truce expiring November 10, alongside commitments on agricultural purchases, critical minerals, and related market access. The resulting trader consensus reflects sustained diplomatic momentum and institutional channels positioned to deliver a publicly announced mutual tariff agreement before year-end.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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