Utah’s 4th congressional district maintains a clear Republican advantage heading into the November 2026 general election, driven by its conservative partisan lean under the recently court-ordered maps that placed the seat in western Utah counties including Tooele along with portions of Salt Lake and Utah counties. Forecasters rate the race Solid Republican or Safe Republican, reflecting the district’s historical voting patterns and the absence of a competitive Democratic challenge after the party’s primary was canceled. Traders assign the Republican nominee a commanding lead because structural factors such as the seat’s partisan voting index and limited crossover appeal have kept the contest noncompetitive. A major scandal involving the Republican candidate or an unexpected national Democratic surge could narrow the margin, though both remain low-probability events this far from Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$15,038 Vol.
$15,038 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
91%
民主党
9%
$15,038 Vol.
$15,038 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$5,489 Vol.
91%
民主党
$9,549 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Utah’s 4th congressional district maintains a clear Republican advantage heading into the November 2026 general election, driven by its conservative partisan lean under the recently court-ordered maps that placed the seat in western Utah counties including Tooele along with portions of Salt Lake and Utah counties. Forecasters rate the race Solid Republican or Safe Republican, reflecting the district’s historical voting patterns and the absence of a competitive Democratic challenge after the party’s primary was canceled. Traders assign the Republican nominee a commanding lead because structural factors such as the seat’s partisan voting index and limited crossover appeal have kept the contest noncompetitive. A major scandal involving the Republican candidate or an unexpected national Democratic surge could narrow the margin, though both remain low-probability events this far from Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
音量
$15,038終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Utah’s 4th congressional district maintains a clear Republican advantage heading into the November 2026 general election, driven by its conservative partisan lean under the recently court-ordered maps that placed the seat in western Utah counties including Tooele along with portions of Salt Lake and Utah counties. Forecasters rate the race Solid Republican or Safe Republican, reflecting the district’s historical voting patterns and the absence of a competitive Democratic challenge after the party’s primary was canceled. Traders assign the Republican nominee a commanding lead because structural factors such as the seat’s partisan voting index and limited crossover appeal have kept the contest noncompetitive. A major scandal involving the Republican candidate or an unexpected national Democratic surge could narrow the margin, though both remain low-probability events this far from Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$15,038終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Utah’s 4th congressional district maintains a clear Republican advantage heading into the November 2026 general election, driven by its conservative partisan lean under the recently court-ordered maps that placed the seat in western Utah counties including Tooele along with portions of Salt Lake and Utah counties. Forecasters rate the race Solid Republican or Safe Republican, reflecting the district’s historical voting patterns and the absence of a competitive Democratic challenge after the party’s primary was canceled. Traders assign the Republican nominee a commanding lead because structural factors such as the seat’s partisan voting index and limited crossover appeal have kept the contest noncompetitive. A major scandal involving the Republican candidate or an unexpected national Democratic surge could narrow the margin, though both remain low-probability events this far from Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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