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バーモント州知事共和党予備選

icon for バーモント州知事共和党予備選

バーモント州知事共和党予備選

新規
Polymarket
新規

フィル・スコット

$1,406 Vol.

91%

ジョン・ロジャース

$1,826 Vol.

22%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Vermont, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Vermont Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Vermont Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Incumbent Governor Phil Scott's long record of winning reelection with broad appeal across Vermont's political spectrum underpins trader consensus that he will secure the Republican nomination on August 11. As the state's chief executive since 2017, Scott benefits from established name recognition, consistent polling strength, and institutional support within the party, while Lieutenant Governor John Rodgers' early declaration has yet to generate comparable momentum or fundraising. The market reflects limited room for an upset absent major developments such as Scott declining to seek a sixth term or a late surge in organized opposition. Primary filing deadlines and any subsequent announcements remain key near-term catalysts that could still influence the outcome before voters decide.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Vermont, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Vermont Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Vermont Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
音量
$3,231
終了日
2026/08/11
マーケット開始日
Dec 11, 2025, 10:40 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Vermont, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Vermont Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Vermont Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Vermont, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Vermont Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Vermont Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Incumbent Governor Phil Scott's long record of winning reelection with broad appeal across Vermont's political spectrum underpins trader consensus that he will secure the Republican nomination on August 11. As the state's chief executive since 2017, Scott benefits from established name recognition, consistent polling strength, and institutional support within the party, while Lieutenant Governor John Rodgers' early declaration has yet to generate comparable momentum or fundraising. The market reflects limited room for an upset absent major developments such as Scott declining to seek a sixth term or a late surge in organized opposition. Primary filing deadlines and any subsequent announcements remain key near-term catalysts that could still influence the outcome before voters decide.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Vermont, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Vermont Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Vermont Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
音量
$3,231
終了日
2026/08/11
マーケット開始日
Dec 11, 2025, 10:40 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Vermont, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Vermont Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Vermont Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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よくある質問

「バーモント州知事共和党予備選」はPolymarket上の2個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「フィル・スコット」で91%、次いで「ジョン・ロジャース」が22%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、91¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に91%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「バーモント州知事共和党予備選」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です(Dec 11, 2025開始)。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「バーモント州知事共和党予備選」で取引するには、このページに記載されている2個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「バーモント州知事共和党予備選」の現在のフロントランナーは「フィル・スコット」で91%であり、市場がこの結果に91%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「ジョン・ロジャース」で22%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「バーモント州知事共和党予備選」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。