The April 12 first-round vote produced a fragmented field of 35 candidates, with final tallies released in mid-May confirming Keiko Fujimori in first place at roughly 17 percent while a narrow contest for second determined the runoff pairing. Traders have assigned near-certain probability to outcomes outside the listed combinations, reflecting how vote shares for Rafael López Aliaga, Roberto Sánchez Palomino, and others fell short of securing the exact matchups priced in the market. Peru’s runoff system requires the top two finishers to advance to the June 7 contest, and the completed count has locked in that structure. Late legal challenges or verified irregularities in remaining precincts could still shift the second-place finisher, though such developments remain low-probability at this stage.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日その他 100.0%
ロペス・アリアガ&ロペス・チャウ <1%
ロペス・アリアガ&ニエト <1%
ロペス・チャウ&フジモリ <1%
$1,181,384 Vol.
$1,181,384 Vol.
ロペス・アリアガ&ロペス・チャウ
いいえ
ロペス・アリアガ&ニエト
いいえ
ロペス・チャウ&フジモリ
いいえ
ロペス・チャウ&ニエト
いいえ
ロペス・チャウ&サンチェス・パロミノ
いいえ
ロペス・アリアガ&フジモリ
いいえ
ロペス・アリアガ&サンチェス・パロミノ
いいえ
ロペス・アリアガ&グロッツォ
いいえ
フジモリ & ニエト
いいえ
その他
はい
その他 100.0%
ロペス・アリアガ&ロペス・チャウ <1%
ロペス・アリアガ&ニエト <1%
ロペス・チャウ&フジモリ <1%
$1,181,384 Vol.
$1,181,384 Vol.
ロペス・アリアガ&ロペス・チャウ
いいえ
ロペス・アリアガ&ニエト
いいえ
ロペス・チャウ&フジモリ
いいえ
ロペス・チャウ&ニエト
いいえ
ロペス・チャウ&サンチェス・パロミノ
いいえ
ロペス・アリアガ&フジモリ
いいえ
ロペス・アリアガ&サンチェス・パロミノ
いいえ
ロペス・アリアガ&グロッツォ
いいえ
フジモリ & ニエト
いいえ
その他
はい
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates who advance to the runoff of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed below advances to the runoff, if no runoff is being held, for example, because a candidate wins the first round outright, or if the candidates of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
マーケット開始日: Mar 23, 2026, 2:03 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates who advance to the runoff of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed below advances to the runoff, if no runoff is being held, for example, because a candidate wins the first round outright, or if the candidates of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
The April 12 first-round vote produced a fragmented field of 35 candidates, with final tallies released in mid-May confirming Keiko Fujimori in first place at roughly 17 percent while a narrow contest for second determined the runoff pairing. Traders have assigned near-certain probability to outcomes outside the listed combinations, reflecting how vote shares for Rafael López Aliaga, Roberto Sánchez Palomino, and others fell short of securing the exact matchups priced in the market. Peru’s runoff system requires the top two finishers to advance to the June 7 contest, and the completed count has locked in that structure. Late legal challenges or verified irregularities in remaining precincts could still shift the second-place finisher, though such developments remain low-probability at this stage.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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