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icon for カリフォルニア州知事予備選から昇進するのは誰ですか？
政治·プライマリ

カリフォルニア州知事予備選から昇進するのは誰ですか？

icon for カリフォルニア州知事予備選から昇進するのは誰ですか？
政治·プライマリ

カリフォルニア州知事予備選から昇進するのは誰ですか？

$664,302 Vol.

2026/06/02
Polymarket

$664,302 Vol.

Polymarket

スティーブ・ヒルトン

$42,241 Vol.

73%

ザビエル・ベセラ

$14,308 Vol.

69%

トム・スタイヤー

$26,304 Vol.

37%

マット・マハン

$23,136 Vol.

9%

ジャヴェン・アレン

$1,161 Vol.

5%

チャド・ビアンコ

$35,434 Vol.

4%

カイル・ラングフォード

$11,755 Vol.

3%

ジミー・パーカー

$1,453 Vol.

3%

ケイティ・ポーター

$11,692 Vol.

2%

デイビッド・セーレン

$1,327 Vol.

2%

ライアン・ティルマン

$1,991 Vol.

2%

アントニオ・ビヤライゴーサ

$13,394 Vol.

2%

チェ・アン

$18,442 Vol.

2%

ダニエル・メルクリ

$10,772 Vol.

2%

イアン・カルデロン

$114,143 Vol.

2%

イーサン・アガワル

$3,522 Vol.

1%

ゾルタン・イシュトヴァン

$12,280 Vol.

1%

ラジ・ラブ

$7,425 Vol.

1%

ブランドン・ジョーンズ

$42,159 Vol.

1%

ベティ・イー

$5,090 Vol.

1%

レナード・ジャクソン

$3,821 Vol.

1%

ブッチ・ウェア

$8,550 Vol.

1%

キャロライナ・ビューラー

$8,811 Vol.

1%

ソフィア・ブリンク

$37,863 Vol.

1%

デレク・グラスティ

$23,467 Vol.

1%

エリック・スウォルウェル

$73,919 Vol.

1%

サンダー・パーリー

$53,760 Vol.

1%

デビッド・セルパ

$4,924 Vol.

1%

ニコラス・トンプソン

$7,072 Vol.

1%

ラムジー・ロビンソン

$4,581 Vol.

1%

トニー・サーマンド

$12,064 Vol.

1%

エレイン・クロッティ

$525 Vol.

1%

レオ・ザッキー

$6,433 Vol.

1%

ディラン・コルバート

$14,920 Vol.

1%

シャリファ・ハーディー

$1,506 Vol.

<1%

ニッキー・ミナージュ

$4,055 Vol.

<1%

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.California's top-two primary system, set for June 2, 2026, creates a competitive dynamic in the race to succeed term-limited Governor Gavin Newsom, with voters selecting the two highest vote-getters regardless of party to advance to November. A crowded Democratic field including former HHS Secretary Xavier Becerra, billionaire Tom Steyer, and former Representative Katie Porter has fragmented support among likely voters, while Republican candidates Steve Hilton—bolstered by a recent presidential endorsement—and Riverside County Sheriff Chad Bianco have consolidated backing in recent surveys. The final pre-primary debate highlighted attacks on frontrunner Becerra, and polling shifts in the past week have narrowed gaps among the top five contenders, underscoring how turnout patterns and late endorsements could determine which pair reaches the general election ballot.

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.

This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “No.”

This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
音量
$664,302
終了日
2026/06/02
マーケット開始日
Dec 4, 2025, 5:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.California's top-two primary system, set for June 2, 2026, creates a competitive dynamic in the race to succeed term-limited Governor Gavin Newsom, with voters selecting the two highest vote-getters regardless of party to advance to November. A crowded Democratic field including former HHS Secretary Xavier Becerra, billionaire Tom Steyer, and former Representative Katie Porter has fragmented support among likely voters, while Republican candidates Steve Hilton—bolstered by a recent presidential endorsement—and Riverside County Sheriff Chad Bianco have consolidated backing in recent surveys. The final pre-primary debate highlighted attacks on frontrunner Becerra, and polling shifts in the past week have narrowed gaps among the top five contenders, underscoring how turnout patterns and late endorsements could determine which pair reaches the general election ballot.

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.

This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “No.”

This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
音量
$664,302
終了日
2026/06/02
マーケット開始日
Dec 4, 2025, 5:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.

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よくある質問

「カリフォルニア州知事予備選から昇進するのは誰ですか？」はPolymarket上の36個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「スティーブ・ヒルトン」で73%、次いで「ザビエル・ベセラ」が69%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、73¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に73%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「カリフォルニア州知事予備選から昇進するのは誰ですか？」は$664.3Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Dec 4, 2025のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「カリフォルニア州知事予備選から昇進するのは誰ですか？」で取引するには、このページに記載されている36個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「カリフォルニア州知事予備選から昇進するのは誰ですか？」の現在のフロントランナーは「スティーブ・ヒルトン」で73%であり、市場がこの結果に73%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「ザビエル・ベセラ」で69%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「カリフォルニア州知事予備選から昇進するのは誰ですか？」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。