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icon for カリフォルニア州知事予備選から昇進するのは誰ですか？
政治·プライマリ

カリフォルニア州知事予備選から昇進するのは誰ですか？

icon for カリフォルニア州知事予備選から昇進するのは誰ですか？
政治·プライマリ

カリフォルニア州知事予備選から昇進するのは誰ですか？

$662,706 Vol.

2026/06/02
Polymarket

$662,706 Vol.

Polymarket

スティーブ・ヒルトン

$42,070 Vol.

72%

ザビエル・ベセラ

$14,026 Vol.

68%

トム・スタイヤー

$26,279 Vol.

51%

マット・マハン

$23,131 Vol.

6%

チャド・ビアンコ

$34,432 Vol.

4%

カイル・ラングフォード

$11,755 Vol.

4%

ジミー・パーカー

$1,453 Vol.

3%

ラジ・ラブ

$7,425 Vol.

2%

ケイティ・ポーター

$11,692 Vol.

2%

ダニエル・メルクリ

$10,772 Vol.

2%

ベティ・イー

$5,090 Vol.

2%

チェ・アン

$18,442 Vol.

2%

イーサン・アガワル

$3,522 Vol.

2%

ニッキー・ミナージュ

$3,958 Vol.

2%

エレイン・クロッティ

$525 Vol.

2%

エリック・スウォルウェル

$73,919 Vol.

7%

デイビッド・セーレン

$1,327 Vol.

2%

イアン・カルデロン

$114,143 Vol.

2%

サンダー・パーリー

$53,760 Vol.

1%

ゾルタン・イシュトヴァン

$12,280 Vol.

1%

アントニオ・ビヤライゴーサ

$13,394 Vol.

1%

ブランドン・ジョーンズ

$42,159 Vol.

1%

キャロライナ・ビューラー

$8,811 Vol.

1%

レナード・ジャクソン

$3,821 Vol.

1%

ブッチ・ウェア

$8,550 Vol.

1%

ライアン・ティルマン

$1,978 Vol.

1%

デレク・グラスティ

$23,467 Vol.

1%

ソフィア・ブリンク

$37,863 Vol.

1%

ジャヴェン・アレン

$1,161 Vol.

7%

デビッド・セルパ

$4,924 Vol.

1%

ニコラス・トンプソン

$7,072 Vol.

1%

ラムジー・ロビンソン

$4,581 Vol.

1%

トニー・サーマンド

$12,064 Vol.

1%

ディラン・コルバート

$14,920 Vol.

1%

レオ・ザッキー

$6,433 Vol.

1%

シャリファ・ハーディー

$1,506 Vol.

<1%

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.The crowded field for California's June 2, 2026 top-two gubernatorial primary features a fragmented Democratic contest alongside two leading Republicans, shaping voter consolidation and advancement prospects. Eric Swalwell's recent withdrawal has boosted Xavier Becerra, who now leads or ties in multiple late polls including an Emerson College survey showing him at 19 percent, ahead of Steve Hilton at roughly 17 percent and Tom Steyer close behind. Hilton, endorsed by President Trump, and Riverside County Sheriff Chad Bianco continue splitting Republican support, while Katie Porter and other Democrats draw from the same base. Early voting is underway with additional candidate debates scheduled before election day, and the nonpartisan system means the top two finishers—regardless of party—advance to November. Recent polling volatility underscores how Democratic vote splitting could still allow both Republicans to reach the general election if turnout patterns hold.

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.

This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “No.”

This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
音量
$662,706
終了日
2026/06/02
マーケット開始日
Dec 4, 2025, 5:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.The crowded field for California's June 2, 2026 top-two gubernatorial primary features a fragmented Democratic contest alongside two leading Republicans, shaping voter consolidation and advancement prospects. Eric Swalwell's recent withdrawal has boosted Xavier Becerra, who now leads or ties in multiple late polls including an Emerson College survey showing him at 19 percent, ahead of Steve Hilton at roughly 17 percent and Tom Steyer close behind. Hilton, endorsed by President Trump, and Riverside County Sheriff Chad Bianco continue splitting Republican support, while Katie Porter and other Democrats draw from the same base. Early voting is underway with additional candidate debates scheduled before election day, and the nonpartisan system means the top two finishers—regardless of party—advance to November. Recent polling volatility underscores how Democratic vote splitting could still allow both Republicans to reach the general election if turnout patterns hold.

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.

This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “No.”

This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
音量
$662,706
終了日
2026/06/02
マーケット開始日
Dec 4, 2025, 5:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.

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よくある質問

「カリフォルニア州知事予備選から昇進するのは誰ですか？」はPolymarket上の36個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「スティーブ・ヒルトン」で72%、次いで「ザビエル・ベセラ」が68%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、72¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に72%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「カリフォルニア州知事予備選から昇進するのは誰ですか？」は$662.7Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Dec 4, 2025のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「カリフォルニア州知事予備選から昇進するのは誰ですか？」で取引するには、このページに記載されている36個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「カリフォルニア州知事予備選から昇進するのは誰ですか？」の現在のフロントランナーは「スティーブ・ヒルトン」で72%であり、市場がこの結果に72%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「ザビエル・ベセラ」で68%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「カリフォルニア州知事予備選から昇進するのは誰ですか？」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。