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icon for ナンシー・ペロシ下院議員（ CA -11 ）の予備選挙で1位になるのは誰ですか？
選挙·トランプ

ナンシー・ペロシ下院議員（ CA -11 ）の予備選挙で1位になるのは誰ですか？

icon for ナンシー・ペロシ下院議員（ CA -11 ）の予備選挙で1位になるのは誰ですか？
選挙·トランプ

ナンシー・ペロシ下院議員（ CA -11 ）の予備選挙で1位になるのは誰ですか？

スコット・ウィーナー 94%

サイカット・チャクラバルティ 7.3%

コニー・チャン 2.9%

コール・ベトルズ <1%

Polymarket

$357,823 Vol.

スコット・ウィーナー 94%

サイカット・チャクラバルティ 7.3%

コニー・チャン 2.9%

コール・ベトルズ <1%

Polymarket

$357,823 Vol.

スコット・ウィーナー

$39,974 Vol.

94%

サイカット・チャクラバルティ

$23,596 Vol.

7%

コニー・チャン

$206,202 Vol.

3%

コール・ベトルズ

$15,637 Vol.

<1%

ダレン・ヘルトン

$19,341 Vol.

<1%

ジンチャオ・ション

$41,376 Vol.

<1%

デイビッド・ガネザー

$11,696 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 11th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.State Senator Scott Wiener holds a commanding lead in the Democratic primary for California’s 11th Congressional District, reflecting strong party endorsement, consistent polling advantages of 18 to 27 points over rivals in recent surveys, and broad support across demographic groups including Chinese American voters. His record advancing housing legislation and LGBTQ rights at the state level, combined with fundraising edges and super PAC backing, has solidified trader consensus around his first-place finish. Saikat Chakrabarti and Connie Chan trail as the main challengers, each drawing progressive and local bases but lacking comparable institutional support. With the June 2 top-two primary less than three weeks away, a late surge in turnout among progressive voters or unexpected endorsements could narrow the gap, though current trends indicate limited room for such shifts before ballots close.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 11th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$357,823
終了日
2026/06/02
マーケット開始日
Nov 24, 2025, 3:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 11th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 11th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.State Senator Scott Wiener holds a commanding lead in the Democratic primary for California’s 11th Congressional District, reflecting strong party endorsement, consistent polling advantages of 18 to 27 points over rivals in recent surveys, and broad support across demographic groups including Chinese American voters. His record advancing housing legislation and LGBTQ rights at the state level, combined with fundraising edges and super PAC backing, has solidified trader consensus around his first-place finish. Saikat Chakrabarti and Connie Chan trail as the main challengers, each drawing progressive and local bases but lacking comparable institutional support. With the June 2 top-two primary less than three weeks away, a late surge in turnout among progressive voters or unexpected endorsements could narrow the gap, though current trends indicate limited room for such shifts before ballots close.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 11th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$357,823
終了日
2026/06/02
マーケット開始日
Nov 24, 2025, 3:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 11th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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よくある質問

「ナンシー・ペロシ下院議員（ CA -11 ）の予備選挙で1位になるのは誰ですか？」はPolymarket上の7個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「スコット・ウィーナー」で94%、次いで「サイカット・チャクラバルティ」が7%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、94¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に94%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「ナンシー・ペロシ下院議員（ CA -11 ）の予備選挙で1位になるのは誰ですか？」は$357.8Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Nov 24, 2025のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「ナンシー・ペロシ下院議員（ CA -11 ）の予備選挙で1位になるのは誰ですか？」で取引するには、このページに記載されている7個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「ナンシー・ペロシ下院議員（ CA -11 ）の予備選挙で1位になるのは誰ですか？」の現在のフロントランナーは「スコット・ウィーナー」で94%であり、市場がこの結果に94%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「サイカット・チャクラバルティ」で7%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「ナンシー・ペロシ下院議員（ CA -11 ）の予備選挙で1位になるのは誰ですか？」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。