Recent polling for Colombia’s May 31 presidential first round shows a fragmented field, with leading candidate Iván Cepeda of the Historic Pact at roughly 35 to 44 percent and nearest rivals Abelardo de la Espriella and Paloma Valencia trailing between 17 and 27 percent. No contender approaches the constitutional threshold of more than 50 percent plus one vote required for an outright victory, sustaining expectations of a June 21 runoff. This multi-candidate dynamic and the absence of any dominant front-runner have produced a trader consensus reflected in the 94.5 percent implied probability assigned to no outright first-round winner.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
$47,000 Vol.
$47,000 Vol.
2026/05/31
はい
$47,000 Vol.
$47,000 Vol.
2026/05/31
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate wins this election in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the result of the first round of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Recent polling for Colombia’s May 31 presidential first round shows a fragmented field, with leading candidate Iván Cepeda of the Historic Pact at roughly 35 to 44 percent and nearest rivals Abelardo de la Espriella and Paloma Valencia trailing between 17 and 27 percent. No contender approaches the constitutional threshold of more than 50 percent plus one vote required for an outright victory, sustaining expectations of a June 21 runoff. This multi-candidate dynamic and the absence of any dominant front-runner have produced a trader consensus reflected in the 94.5 percent implied probability assigned to no outright first-round winner.
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate wins this election in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the result of the first round of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate wins this election in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the result of the first round of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
マーケット開始日： Jul 29, 2025, 1:08 PM ET
音量
$47,000終了日
2026/05/31マーケット開始日
Jul 29, 2025, 1:08 PM ETResolver
0x157Ce2d67...Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate wins this election in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the result of the first round of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Recent polling for Colombia’s May 31 presidential first round shows a fragmented field, with leading candidate Iván Cepeda of the Historic Pact at roughly 35 to 44 percent and nearest rivals Abelardo de la Espriella and Paloma Valencia trailing between 17 and 27 percent. No contender approaches the constitutional threshold of more than 50 percent plus one vote required for an outright victory, sustaining expectations of a June 21 runoff. This multi-candidate dynamic and the absence of any dominant front-runner have produced a trader consensus reflected in the 94.5 percent implied probability assigned to no outright first-round winner.
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate wins this election in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the result of the first round of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate wins this election in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the result of the first round of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
音量
$47,000終了日
2026/05/31マーケット開始日
Jul 29, 2025, 1:08 PM ETResolver
0x157Ce2d67...Recent polling for Colombia’s May 31 presidential first round shows a fragmented field, with leading candidate Iván Cepeda of the Historic Pact at roughly 35 to 44 percent and nearest rivals Abelardo de la Espriella and Paloma Valencia trailing between 17 and 27 percent. No contender approaches the constitutional threshold of more than 50 percent plus one vote required for an outright victory, sustaining expectations of a June 21 runoff. This multi-candidate dynamic and the absence of any dominant front-runner have produced a trader consensus reflected in the 94.5 percent implied probability assigned to no outright first-round winner.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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