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icon for 米国は2026年に領土を併合しますか?

米国は2026年に領土を併合しますか?

icon for 米国は2026年に領土を併合しますか?

米国は2026年に領土を併合しますか?

はい

4% 確率
Polymarket

$154,652 Vol.

はい

4% 確率
Polymarket

$154,652 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially annexes any territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation. Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.US foreign policy in 2026 shows no active executive actions, legislative proposals, or diplomatic initiatives aimed at territorial annexation, reinforcing trader consensus reflected in the 96.1% implied probability for "No." Historical patterns of US expansion through purchase or treaty rather than unilateral claims, combined with ongoing focus on alliances, trade agreements, and multilateral institutions, limit momentum for such moves. Congressional priorities center on appropriations, border security, and existing territorial governance rather than new acquisitions. Late developments such as a sudden shift in administration strategy, formal negotiations over disputed areas like Arctic claims or Pacific outposts, or major geopolitical realignments could still alter the outcome before year-end.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially annexes any territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.

Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$154,652
終了日
2026/12/31
マーケット開始日
Jan 6, 2026, 1:41 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially annexes any territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation. Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially annexes any territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation. Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.US foreign policy in 2026 shows no active executive actions, legislative proposals, or diplomatic initiatives aimed at territorial annexation, reinforcing trader consensus reflected in the 96.1% implied probability for "No." Historical patterns of US expansion through purchase or treaty rather than unilateral claims, combined with ongoing focus on alliances, trade agreements, and multilateral institutions, limit momentum for such moves. Congressional priorities center on appropriations, border security, and existing territorial governance rather than new acquisitions. Late developments such as a sudden shift in administration strategy, formal negotiations over disputed areas like Arctic claims or Pacific outposts, or major geopolitical realignments could still alter the outcome before year-end.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially annexes any territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.

Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$154,652
終了日
2026/12/31
マーケット開始日
Jan 6, 2026, 1:41 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially annexes any territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation. Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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よくある質問

「米国は2026年に領土を併合しますか?」はPolymarket上の2個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「アメリカは2026年に領土を併合しますか?」で4%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、4¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に4%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「米国は2026年に領土を併合しますか?」は$154.7Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Jan 6, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「米国は2026年に領土を併合しますか?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている2個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

これは非常に拮抗した市場です。「米国は2026年に領土を併合しますか?」の現在のリーダーは「アメリカは2026年に領土を併合しますか?」でわずか4%です。どの結果も強い多数派を占めていないため、トレーダーはこれを非常に不確実と見ており、独自の取引機会を提供する可能性があります。これらのオッズはリアルタイムで更新されますので、このページをブックマークしてください。

「米国は2026年に領土を併合しますか?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。