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icon for リサ・クックが正式にFRB総裁に就任したのは... ？
財務·FED

リサ・クックが正式にFRB総裁に就任したのは... ？

icon for リサ・クックが正式にFRB総裁に就任したのは... ？
財務·FED

リサ・クックが正式にFRB総裁に就任したのは... ？

新規
2026/09/30
Polymarket

$4,656 Vol.

Polymarket

9月30日

$1,246 Vol.

2%

10月31日

$1,236 Vol.

4%

11月30日

$939 Vol.

5%

12月31日

$1,235 Vol.

7%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lisa Cook formally ceases to hold the position of Member of the US Federal Reserve Board of Governors by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Lisa Cook must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, dismissal, or other means all qualify. Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.President Trump's renewed August 2026 effort to remove Fed Governor Lisa Cook over 2021 mortgage fraud allegations—following the Supreme Court's June 29 ruling that preserved her position pending due process—remains the dominant driver of trader sentiment around her departure timeline. The White House letter of August 5 granted Cook 21 days to respond, setting an August 26 deadline and likely triggering further litigation over Federal Reserve Act "for cause" protections and central bank independence. Markets continue to price in prolonged legal resistance and political pressure amid stable monetary policy expectations, with traders watching any FOMC communications or Treasury yield movements for signals on leadership stability.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lisa Cook formally ceases to hold the position of Member of the US Federal Reserve Board of Governors by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

Lisa Cook must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, dismissal, or other means all qualify.

Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
音量
$4,656
終了日
2026/12/31
マーケット開始日
Aug 7, 2026, 5:51 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lisa Cook formally ceases to hold the position of Member of the US Federal Reserve Board of Governors by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Lisa Cook must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, dismissal, or other means all qualify. Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lisa Cook formally ceases to hold the position of Member of the US Federal Reserve Board of Governors by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Lisa Cook must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, dismissal, or other means all qualify. Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.President Trump's renewed August 2026 effort to remove Fed Governor Lisa Cook over 2021 mortgage fraud allegations—following the Supreme Court's June 29 ruling that preserved her position pending due process—remains the dominant driver of trader sentiment around her departure timeline. The White House letter of August 5 granted Cook 21 days to respond, setting an August 26 deadline and likely triggering further litigation over Federal Reserve Act "for cause" protections and central bank independence. Markets continue to price in prolonged legal resistance and political pressure amid stable monetary policy expectations, with traders watching any FOMC communications or Treasury yield movements for signals on leadership stability.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lisa Cook formally ceases to hold the position of Member of the US Federal Reserve Board of Governors by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

Lisa Cook must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, dismissal, or other means all qualify.

Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
音量
$4,656
終了日
2026/12/31
マーケット開始日
Aug 7, 2026, 5:51 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lisa Cook formally ceases to hold the position of Member of the US Federal Reserve Board of Governors by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Lisa Cook must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, dismissal, or other means all qualify. Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

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外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「リサ・クックが正式にFRB総裁に就任したのは... ？」はPolymarket上の4個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「12月31日」で7%、次いで「11月30日」が5%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、7¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に7%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「リサ・クックが正式にFRB総裁に就任したのは... ？」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です（Aug 7, 2026開始）。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「リサ・クックが正式にFRB総裁に就任したのは... ？」で取引するには、このページに記載されている4個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

これは非常に拮抗した市場です。「リサ・クックが正式にFRB総裁に就任したのは... ？」の現在のリーダーは「12月31日」でわずか7%、「11月30日」が5%で僅差です。どの結果も強い多数派を占めていないため、トレーダーはこれを非常に不確実と見ており、独自の取引機会を提供する可能性があります。これらのオッズはリアルタイムで更新されますので、このページをブックマークしてください。

「リサ・クックが正式にFRB総裁に就任したのは... ？」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。