Five magnitude 7.0 or greater earthquakes have occurred worldwide through mid-May 2026 according to USGS records, including events in Tonga, Vanuatu, Indonesia, and Japan, consistent with the long-term average of roughly 15 such quakes annually. Seismicity follows a Poisson distribution characterized by temporal clustering and quiet intervals, so the three-week lull since the April 20 Japan event introduces uncertainty about whether rates will rebound toward the historical baseline or remain subdued. Ongoing USGS monitoring of subduction zones along the Pacific Ring of Fire, along with real-time magnitude and location data from the Earthquake Hazards Program, will shape resolution as the year progresses.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트... 에 의한 또 다른 7.0 이상의 지진?
$29,217 거래량
5월 15일
<1%
5월 30일
38%
$29,217 거래량
5월 15일
<1%
5월 30일
38%
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
마켓 개설일: Apr 21, 2026, 10:35 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Five magnitude 7.0 or greater earthquakes have occurred worldwide through mid-May 2026 according to USGS records, including events in Tonga, Vanuatu, Indonesia, and Japan, consistent with the long-term average of roughly 15 such quakes annually. Seismicity follows a Poisson distribution characterized by temporal clustering and quiet intervals, so the three-week lull since the April 20 Japan event introduces uncertainty about whether rates will rebound toward the historical baseline or remain subdued. Ongoing USGS monitoring of subduction zones along the Pacific Ring of Fire, along with real-time magnitude and location data from the Earthquake Hazards Program, will shape resolution as the year progresses.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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