Recent forecast model runs from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles indicate a southerly flow advecting warmer air over the Korean Peninsula, positioning Busan’s expected daytime maximum near 29–31 °C for May 17. This places the market-implied odds for 30 °C at near-certainty, reflecting consensus on peak conditions under stable high pressure and minimal cloud cover. Coastal sea-breeze circulation may provide some moderation, yet current observations at Gimhae International Airport already show morning temperatures near 25 °C with continued warming projected through afternoon. Historical May climatology supports occasional early-summer spikes to this range when synoptic patterns favor advection from the south, though any earlier-than-expected onshore flow could cap the high below the leading outcome.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트5월 17일 부산에서 가장 높은 기온?
30°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$49,453 거래량
$49,453 거래량
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
100%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
30°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$49,453 거래량
$49,453 거래량
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
100%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Recent forecast model runs from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles indicate a southerly flow advecting warmer air over the Korean Peninsula, positioning Busan’s expected daytime maximum near 29–31 °C for May 17. This places the market-implied odds for 30 °C at near-certainty, reflecting consensus on peak conditions under stable high pressure and minimal cloud cover. Coastal sea-breeze circulation may provide some moderation, yet current observations at Gimhae International Airport already show morning temperatures near 25 °C with continued warming projected through afternoon. Historical May climatology supports occasional early-summer spikes to this range when synoptic patterns favor advection from the south, though any earlier-than-expected onshore flow could cap the high below the leading outcome.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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