Latest numerical weather prediction ensembles from the China Meteorological Administration have converged on a daily maximum of 31°C for Chengdu on May 17, establishing this outcome as the near-certain market consensus. A strengthening subtropical ridge over the Sichuan Basin is driving clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and reduced cloud cover that enhances daytime heating well above the late-May climatological average of 27–28°C. Lingering low-level moisture and minor ensemble spread introduce limited uncertainty around the exact peak, yet current observational trends and steering patterns strongly favor resolution within the 31°C threshold. Traders will monitor the final afternoon station readings and any last adjustments to the ridge position before official confirmation.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트5월 17일 청두에서 가장 높은 기온?
5월 17일 청두에서 가장 높은 기온?
31°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$65,611 거래량
$65,611 거래량
2026.05.17
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
100%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
31°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$65,611 거래량
$65,611 거래량
2026.05.17
23°C or below
$1,343 거래량
<1%
24°C
$1,724 거래량
<1%
25°C
$3,055 거래량
<1%
26°C
$4,973 거래량
<1%
27°C
$5,948 거래량
<1%
28°C
$6,230 거래량
<1%
29°C
$6,326 거래량
<1%
30°C
$9,253 거래량
<1%
31°C
$11,103 거래량
100%
32°C
$8,779 거래량
<1%
33°C or higher
$6,877 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest numerical weather prediction ensembles from the China Meteorological Administration have converged on a daily maximum of 31°C for Chengdu on May 17, establishing this outcome as the near-certain market consensus. A strengthening subtropical ridge over the Sichuan Basin is driving clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and reduced cloud cover that enhances daytime heating well above the late-May climatological average of 27–28°C. Lingering low-level moisture and minor ensemble spread introduce limited uncertainty around the exact peak, yet current observational trends and steering patterns strongly favor resolution within the 31°C threshold. Traders will monitor the final afternoon station readings and any last adjustments to the ridge position before official confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
거래량
$65,611종료일
2026.05.17마켓 개설일
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest numerical weather prediction ensembles from the China Meteorological Administration have converged on a daily maximum of 31°C for Chengdu on May 17, establishing this outcome as the near-certain market consensus. A strengthening subtropical ridge over the Sichuan Basin is driving clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and reduced cloud cover that enhances daytime heating well above the late-May climatological average of 27–28°C. Lingering low-level moisture and minor ensemble spread introduce limited uncertainty around the exact peak, yet current observational trends and steering patterns strongly favor resolution within the 31°C threshold. Traders will monitor the final afternoon station readings and any last adjustments to the ridge position before official confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$65,611종료일
2026.05.17마켓 개설일
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETLatest numerical weather prediction ensembles from the China Meteorological Administration have converged on a daily maximum of 31°C for Chengdu on May 17, establishing this outcome as the near-certain market consensus. A strengthening subtropical ridge over the Sichuan Basin is driving clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and reduced cloud cover that enhances daytime heating well above the late-May climatological average of 27–28°C. Lingering low-level moisture and minor ensemble spread introduce limited uncertainty around the exact peak, yet current observational trends and steering patterns strongly favor resolution within the 31°C threshold. Traders will monitor the final afternoon station readings and any last adjustments to the ridge position before official confirmation.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문