National Weather Service forecasts for Chicago point to a high temperature of 78°F or warmer on May 18, driven by southerly flow advecting warm, moist air from the southern Plains beneath a strengthening high-pressure ridge. Multiple model runs, including the latest GFS and ECMWF guidance, show minimal cloud cover and daytime heating pushing readings into the upper 70s to low 80s, well above the city’s historical May 18 average near 70°F. This consensus supports the market’s dominant implied probability for the upper bracket while leaving room for minor revisions if overnight model trends shift. Traders will watch the next official forecast update for any changes in the thermal profile or wind direction that could alter peak readings.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트5월 18일에 시카고에서 가장 높은 기온을 기록하셨나요?
5월 18일에 시카고에서 가장 높은 기온을 기록하셨나요?
78°F 이상 84%
76-77°F 14%
74-75°F 2.1%
72-73°F <1%
신규
$21,210 거래량
신규
$21,210 거래량
2026.05.18
59°F 이하
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
14%
78°F 이상
84%
78°F 이상 84%
76-77°F 14%
74-75°F 2.1%
72-73°F <1%
신규
$21,210 거래량
신규
$21,210 거래량
2026.05.18
59°F 이하
$4,120 거래량
<1%
60-61°F
$7,319 거래량
<1%
62-63°F
$1,116 거래량
<1%
64-65°F
$1,428 거래량
<1%
66-67°F
$1,074 거래량
<1%
68-69°F
$764 거래량
<1%
70-71°F
$975 거래량
<1%
72-73°F
$764 거래량
<1%
74-75°F
$759 거래량
2%
76-77°F
$1,302 거래량
14%
78°F 이상
$1,691 거래량
84%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts for Chicago point to a high temperature of 78°F or warmer on May 18, driven by southerly flow advecting warm, moist air from the southern Plains beneath a strengthening high-pressure ridge. Multiple model runs, including the latest GFS and ECMWF guidance, show minimal cloud cover and daytime heating pushing readings into the upper 70s to low 80s, well above the city’s historical May 18 average near 70°F. This consensus supports the market’s dominant implied probability for the upper bracket while leaving room for minor revisions if overnight model trends shift. Traders will watch the next official forecast update for any changes in the thermal profile or wind direction that could alter peak readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
거래량
$21,210종료일
2026.05.18마켓 개설일
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts for Chicago point to a high temperature of 78°F or warmer on May 18, driven by southerly flow advecting warm, moist air from the southern Plains beneath a strengthening high-pressure ridge. Multiple model runs, including the latest GFS and ECMWF guidance, show minimal cloud cover and daytime heating pushing readings into the upper 70s to low 80s, well above the city’s historical May 18 average near 70°F. This consensus supports the market’s dominant implied probability for the upper bracket while leaving room for minor revisions if overnight model trends shift. Traders will watch the next official forecast update for any changes in the thermal profile or wind direction that could alter peak readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$21,210종료일
2026.05.18마켓 개설일
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETNational Weather Service forecasts for Chicago point to a high temperature of 78°F or warmer on May 18, driven by southerly flow advecting warm, moist air from the southern Plains beneath a strengthening high-pressure ridge. Multiple model runs, including the latest GFS and ECMWF guidance, show minimal cloud cover and daytime heating pushing readings into the upper 70s to low 80s, well above the city’s historical May 18 average near 70°F. This consensus supports the market’s dominant implied probability for the upper bracket while leaving room for minor revisions if overnight model trends shift. Traders will watch the next official forecast update for any changes in the thermal profile or wind direction that could alter peak readings.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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