Recent National Weather Service guidance for Dallas on May 17 forecasts a daytime high near 90°F, driven by southerly flow advecting warm, moist air ahead of a weak front. Ensemble output from the GFS and ECMWF models shows consensus around 86–89°F depending on the timing and coverage of afternoon thunderstorms, which could limit peak heating through increased cloud cover. This places the 88–89°F bin as the market leader at 56.5% implied probability, with 86–87°F a close second, reflecting traders’ assessment of typical May climatology where Dallas averages 85°F highs yet can reach the upper 80s under clear to partly cloudy conditions. Minor upward revisions in short-range model runs have modestly lifted odds for 90–91°F while keeping sub-86°F outcomes below 1%.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트5월 17일 댈러스에서 가장 높은 온도는?
5월 17일 댈러스에서 가장 높은 온도는?
88-89°F 59%
86-87°F 32%
90-91°F 7%
92°F 이상 <1%
$52,370 거래량
$52,370 거래량
2026.05.17
73°F 이하
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
37%
88-89°F
59%
90-91°F
7%
92°F 이상
1%
88-89°F 59%
86-87°F 32%
90-91°F 7%
92°F 이상 <1%
$52,370 거래량
$52,370 거래량
2026.05.17
73°F 이하
$13,405 거래량
<1%
74-75°F
$2,233 거래량
<1%
76-77°F
$3,904 거래량
<1%
78-79°F
$2,123 거래량
<1%
80-81°F
$1,359 거래량
<1%
82-83°F
$8,464 거래량
<1%
84-85°F
$5,477 거래량
<1%
86-87°F
$3,582 거래량
37%
88-89°F
$3,395 거래량
59%
90-91°F
$3,001 거래량
7%
92°F 이상
$5,495 거래량
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent National Weather Service guidance for Dallas on May 17 forecasts a daytime high near 90°F, driven by southerly flow advecting warm, moist air ahead of a weak front. Ensemble output from the GFS and ECMWF models shows consensus around 86–89°F depending on the timing and coverage of afternoon thunderstorms, which could limit peak heating through increased cloud cover. This places the 88–89°F bin as the market leader at 56.5% implied probability, with 86–87°F a close second, reflecting traders’ assessment of typical May climatology where Dallas averages 85°F highs yet can reach the upper 80s under clear to partly cloudy conditions. Minor upward revisions in short-range model runs have modestly lifted odds for 90–91°F while keeping sub-86°F outcomes below 1%.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
거래량
$52,370종료일
2026.05.17마켓 개설일
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent National Weather Service guidance for Dallas on May 17 forecasts a daytime high near 90°F, driven by southerly flow advecting warm, moist air ahead of a weak front. Ensemble output from the GFS and ECMWF models shows consensus around 86–89°F depending on the timing and coverage of afternoon thunderstorms, which could limit peak heating through increased cloud cover. This places the 88–89°F bin as the market leader at 56.5% implied probability, with 86–87°F a close second, reflecting traders’ assessment of typical May climatology where Dallas averages 85°F highs yet can reach the upper 80s under clear to partly cloudy conditions. Minor upward revisions in short-range model runs have modestly lifted odds for 90–91°F while keeping sub-86°F outcomes below 1%.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$52,370종료일
2026.05.17마켓 개설일
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETRecent National Weather Service guidance for Dallas on May 17 forecasts a daytime high near 90°F, driven by southerly flow advecting warm, moist air ahead of a weak front. Ensemble output from the GFS and ECMWF models shows consensus around 86–89°F depending on the timing and coverage of afternoon thunderstorms, which could limit peak heating through increased cloud cover. This places the 88–89°F bin as the market leader at 56.5% implied probability, with 86–87°F a close second, reflecting traders’ assessment of typical May climatology where Dallas averages 85°F highs yet can reach the upper 80s under clear to partly cloudy conditions. Minor upward revisions in short-range model runs have modestly lifted odds for 90–91°F while keeping sub-86°F outcomes below 1%.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문