Current forecasts from regional models point to scattered showers and variable cloud cover across the Pearl River Delta on May 18, moderating afternoon heating and creating tight competition among the 28–30 °C bins that together hold over 75 % of market-implied probability. Guangzhou’s subtropical early-summer regime features high humidity and sea-breeze advection that frequently caps daily maxima near the long-term climatological average of 29 °C, while any break in cloudiness or delayed convection could allow brief warming toward 30–31 °C. Traders are therefore pricing the modest spread in model guidance rather than a single deterministic outcome, with resolution hinging on the official maximum recorded at Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트5월 18일 광저우에서 가장 높은 기온?
5월 18일 광저우에서 가장 높은 기온?
29°C 32%
28°C 31%
30°C 24%
27°C 19%
신규
신규
2026.05.18
22°C 이하
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
6%
27°C
19%
28°C
23%
29°C
32%
30°C
24%
31°C
5%
32°C 이상
1%
29°C 32%
28°C 31%
30°C 24%
27°C 19%
신규
신규
2026.05.18
22°C 이하
$754 거래량
<1%
23°C
$392 거래량
<1%
24°C
$1,095 거래량
<1%
25°C
$2,821 거래량
<1%
26°C
$270 거래량
6%
27°C
$393 거래량
19%
28°C
$311 거래량
23%
29°C
$556 거래량
32%
30°C
$388 거래량
24%
31°C
$313 거래량
5%
32°C 이상
$846 거래량
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from regional models point to scattered showers and variable cloud cover across the Pearl River Delta on May 18, moderating afternoon heating and creating tight competition among the 28–30 °C bins that together hold over 75 % of market-implied probability. Guangzhou’s subtropical early-summer regime features high humidity and sea-breeze advection that frequently caps daily maxima near the long-term climatological average of 29 °C, while any break in cloudiness or delayed convection could allow brief warming toward 30–31 °C. Traders are therefore pricing the modest spread in model guidance rather than a single deterministic outcome, with resolution hinging on the official maximum recorded at Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
거래량
$8,128종료일
2026.05.18마켓 개설일
May 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from regional models point to scattered showers and variable cloud cover across the Pearl River Delta on May 18, moderating afternoon heating and creating tight competition among the 28–30 °C bins that together hold over 75 % of market-implied probability. Guangzhou’s subtropical early-summer regime features high humidity and sea-breeze advection that frequently caps daily maxima near the long-term climatological average of 29 °C, while any break in cloudiness or delayed convection could allow brief warming toward 30–31 °C. Traders are therefore pricing the modest spread in model guidance rather than a single deterministic outcome, with resolution hinging on the official maximum recorded at Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$8,128종료일
2026.05.18마켓 개설일
May 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ETCurrent forecasts from regional models point to scattered showers and variable cloud cover across the Pearl River Delta on May 18, moderating afternoon heating and creating tight competition among the 28–30 °C bins that together hold over 75 % of market-implied probability. Guangzhou’s subtropical early-summer regime features high humidity and sea-breeze advection that frequently caps daily maxima near the long-term climatological average of 29 °C, while any break in cloudiness or delayed convection could allow brief warming toward 30–31 °C. Traders are therefore pricing the modest spread in model guidance rather than a single deterministic outcome, with resolution hinging on the official maximum recorded at Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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