Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a maximum temperature of 27–28°C for May 18, driven by moderate southwesterly airflow and typical late-spring humidity levels that limit daytime heating. This aligns with the seasonal outlook for normal to above-normal temperatures through July, influenced by ongoing climate warming trends and neutral ENSO conditions. Model consensus shows low variability, with minimal risk of stronger warming or cooler northerly intrusions, supporting trader emphasis on the narrow 26–29°C range. The official daily bulletin expected later today could refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트5월 18일 홍콩에서 가장 높은 기온?
5월 18일 홍콩에서 가장 높은 기온?
27°C 48%
28°C 27%
26°C 19%
29°C 9.3%
신규
$78,314 거래량
신규
$78,314 거래량
2026.05.18
21°C 이하
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
19%
27°C
48%
28°C
27%
29°C
9%
30°C
1%
31°C 이상
<1%
27°C 48%
28°C 27%
26°C 19%
29°C 9.3%
신규
$78,314 거래량
신규
$78,314 거래량
2026.05.18
21°C 이하
$5,221 거래량
<1%
22°C
$3,756 거래량
<1%
23°C
$14,385 거래량
<1%
24°C
$8,178 거래량
<1%
25°C
$7,339 거래량
1%
26°C
$7,456 거래량
19%
27°C
$5,068 거래량
48%
28°C
$4,369 거래량
27%
29°C
$8,175 거래량
9%
30°C
$5,702 거래량
1%
31°C 이상
$8,673 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a maximum temperature of 27–28°C for May 18, driven by moderate southwesterly airflow and typical late-spring humidity levels that limit daytime heating. This aligns with the seasonal outlook for normal to above-normal temperatures through July, influenced by ongoing climate warming trends and neutral ENSO conditions. Model consensus shows low variability, with minimal risk of stronger warming or cooler northerly intrusions, supporting trader emphasis on the narrow 26–29°C range. The official daily bulletin expected later today could refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
거래량
$78,314종료일
2026.05.18마켓 개설일
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a maximum temperature of 27–28°C for May 18, driven by moderate southwesterly airflow and typical late-spring humidity levels that limit daytime heating. This aligns with the seasonal outlook for normal to above-normal temperatures through July, influenced by ongoing climate warming trends and neutral ENSO conditions. Model consensus shows low variability, with minimal risk of stronger warming or cooler northerly intrusions, supporting trader emphasis on the narrow 26–29°C range. The official daily bulletin expected later today could refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$78,314종료일
2026.05.18마켓 개설일
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETRecent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a maximum temperature of 27–28°C for May 18, driven by moderate southwesterly airflow and typical late-spring humidity levels that limit daytime heating. This aligns with the seasonal outlook for normal to above-normal temperatures through July, influenced by ongoing climate warming trends and neutral ENSO conditions. Model consensus shows low variability, with minimal risk of stronger warming or cooler northerly intrusions, supporting trader emphasis on the narrow 26–29°C range. The official daily bulletin expected later today could refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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