Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns near-certainty (100%) to a highest temperature of 39°C in Jeddah on May 14, driven by the latest observational data from King Abdulaziz International Airport (OEJN METARs showing morning temperatures at 31°C under clear skies) and converging forecast models from ECMWF, GFS, and UK Met Office projecting a peak of 37–39°C amid persistent high-pressure subsidence, hazy conditions, and light northwesterly winds capping intensification. This aligns with May climatology, where daily highs average 37°C, supported by real-time solar heating trends and low humidity around 30–40%. Realistic challenges include unexpected haze dissipation allowing stronger insolation or minor wind shifts boosting advection, though marine influences and model uncertainty ranges make 40°C+ improbable; final airport readings expected by evening local time.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Jeddah on May 14?
Highest temperature in Jeddah on May 14?
39°C 100.0%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$38,783 거래량
$38,783 거래량
2026.05.14
30°C or below
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
Yes
40°C or higher
No
39°C 100.0%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$38,783 거래량
$38,783 거래량
2026.05.14
30°C or below
$2,268 거래량
No
31°C
$1,103 거래량
No
32°C
$5,164 거래량
No
33°C
$2,480 거래량
No
34°C
$2,760 거래량
No
35°C
$3,807 거래량
No
36°C
$4,143 거래량
No
37°C
$2,332 거래량
No
38°C
$2,318 거래량
No
39°C
$5,159 거래량
Yes
40°C or higher
$7,248 거래량
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns near-certainty (100%) to a highest temperature of 39°C in Jeddah on May 14, driven by the latest observational data from King Abdulaziz International Airport (OEJN METARs showing morning temperatures at 31°C under clear skies) and converging forecast models from ECMWF, GFS, and UK Met Office projecting a peak of 37–39°C amid persistent high-pressure subsidence, hazy conditions, and light northwesterly winds capping intensification. This aligns with May climatology, where daily highs average 37°C, supported by real-time solar heating trends and low humidity around 30–40%. Realistic challenges include unexpected haze dissipation allowing stronger insolation or minor wind shifts boosting advection, though marine influences and model uncertainty ranges make 40°C+ improbable; final airport readings expected by evening local time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 12, 2026, 12:24 AM ET
거래량
$38,783종료일
2026.05.14마켓 개설일
May 12, 2026, 12:24 AM ET결과 제안됨: Yes
이의 없음
최종 결과: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns near-certainty (100%) to a highest temperature of 39°C in Jeddah on May 14, driven by the latest observational data from King Abdulaziz International Airport (OEJN METARs showing morning temperatures at 31°C under clear skies) and converging forecast models from ECMWF, GFS, and UK Met Office projecting a peak of 37–39°C amid persistent high-pressure subsidence, hazy conditions, and light northwesterly winds capping intensification. This aligns with May climatology, where daily highs average 37°C, supported by real-time solar heating trends and low humidity around 30–40%. Realistic challenges include unexpected haze dissipation allowing stronger insolation or minor wind shifts boosting advection, though marine influences and model uncertainty ranges make 40°C+ improbable; final airport readings expected by evening local time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$38,783종료일
2026.05.14마켓 개설일
May 12, 2026, 12:24 AM ET결과 제안됨: Yes
이의 없음
최종 결과: Yes
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns near-certainty (100%) to a highest temperature of 39°C in Jeddah on May 14, driven by the latest observational data from King Abdulaziz International Airport (OEJN METARs showing morning temperatures at 31°C under clear skies) and converging forecast models from ECMWF, GFS, and UK Met Office projecting a peak of 37–39°C amid persistent high-pressure subsidence, hazy conditions, and light northwesterly winds capping intensification. This aligns with May climatology, where daily highs average 37°C, supported by real-time solar heating trends and low humidity around 30–40%. Realistic challenges include unexpected haze dissipation allowing stronger insolation or minor wind shifts boosting advection, though marine influences and model uncertainty ranges make 40°C+ improbable; final airport readings expected by evening local time.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문