The India Meteorological Department (IMD)'s forecast issued May 13 projects a maximum temperature of 39°C for Lucknow on May 14 under mainly clear skies becoming fully clear, with minimums around 27°C, anchoring trader consensus at 90.5% implied probability for 39°C or below. This reflects stable pre-monsoon conditions following above-normal early May rainfall that has tempered heat across Uttar Pradesh, avoiding heatwave thresholds (40°C+ for plains). Recent daily highs have hovered near 36-38°C per IMD data, with model consensus showing low intensification risk absent dry northerly winds. Realistic challenges include unexpected high-pressure reinforcement boosting solar heating or station-specific variances at Lucknow Airport, though short-range forecast accuracy exceeds 90% this near resolution. Official measurement tomorrow will settle the market.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Lucknow on May 14?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on May 14?
39°C or below 89%
40°C 7.2%
41°C 1.2%
42°C <1%
신규
$18,035 거래량
신규
$18,035 거래량
2026.05.14
39°C or below
89%
40°C
7%
41°C
1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C
<1%
45°C
<1%
46°C
<1%
47°C
<1%
48°C
<1%
49°C or higher
<1%
39°C or below 89%
40°C 7.2%
41°C 1.2%
42°C <1%
신규
$18,035 거래량
신규
$18,035 거래량
2026.05.14
39°C or below
$3,113 거래량
89%
40°C
$1,898 거래량
7%
41°C
$2,128 거래량
1%
42°C
$1,273 거래량
<1%
43°C
$2,123 거래량
<1%
44°C
$1,546 거래량
<1%
45°C
$669 거래량
<1%
46°C
$827 거래량
<1%
47°C
$1,006 거래량
<1%
48°C
$2,512 거래량
<1%
49°C or higher
$1,055 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The India Meteorological Department (IMD)'s forecast issued May 13 projects a maximum temperature of 39°C for Lucknow on May 14 under mainly clear skies becoming fully clear, with minimums around 27°C, anchoring trader consensus at 90.5% implied probability for 39°C or below. This reflects stable pre-monsoon conditions following above-normal early May rainfall that has tempered heat across Uttar Pradesh, avoiding heatwave thresholds (40°C+ for plains). Recent daily highs have hovered near 36-38°C per IMD data, with model consensus showing low intensification risk absent dry northerly winds. Realistic challenges include unexpected high-pressure reinforcement boosting solar heating or station-specific variances at Lucknow Airport, though short-range forecast accuracy exceeds 90% this near resolution. Official measurement tomorrow will settle the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 12, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
거래량
$18,035종료일
2026.05.14마켓 개설일
May 12, 2026, 12:09 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The India Meteorological Department (IMD)'s forecast issued May 13 projects a maximum temperature of 39°C for Lucknow on May 14 under mainly clear skies becoming fully clear, with minimums around 27°C, anchoring trader consensus at 90.5% implied probability for 39°C or below. This reflects stable pre-monsoon conditions following above-normal early May rainfall that has tempered heat across Uttar Pradesh, avoiding heatwave thresholds (40°C+ for plains). Recent daily highs have hovered near 36-38°C per IMD data, with model consensus showing low intensification risk absent dry northerly winds. Realistic challenges include unexpected high-pressure reinforcement boosting solar heating or station-specific variances at Lucknow Airport, though short-range forecast accuracy exceeds 90% this near resolution. Official measurement tomorrow will settle the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$18,035종료일
2026.05.14마켓 개설일
May 12, 2026, 12:09 AM ETThe India Meteorological Department (IMD)'s forecast issued May 13 projects a maximum temperature of 39°C for Lucknow on May 14 under mainly clear skies becoming fully clear, with minimums around 27°C, anchoring trader consensus at 90.5% implied probability for 39°C or below. This reflects stable pre-monsoon conditions following above-normal early May rainfall that has tempered heat across Uttar Pradesh, avoiding heatwave thresholds (40°C+ for plains). Recent daily highs have hovered near 36-38°C per IMD data, with model consensus showing low intensification risk absent dry northerly winds. Realistic challenges include unexpected high-pressure reinforcement boosting solar heating or station-specific variances at Lucknow Airport, though short-range forecast accuracy exceeds 90% this near resolution. Official measurement tomorrow will settle the market.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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