Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a high temperature of exactly 22°C in Qingdao on May 15, 2026, driven by official observations from the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport weather station—the market's resolution source—confirming this precise daily maximum. Persistent coastal fog and low cloud cover, as reported in China Meteorological Administration updates, capped daytime heating despite a broader northern heatwave affecting inland Shandong with highs near 26°C elsewhere. Mid-May climatological norms for the station average 19–22°C, aligning with marine-influenced moderation of southerly flows. Realistic challenges are minimal post-observation, but a rare data revision from the station or dispute over measurement timing could theoretically prompt review, though unlikely given the finality of airport records.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Qingdao on May 15?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on May 15?
22°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$24,703 거래량
$24,703 거래량
2026.05.15
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
100%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
22°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$24,703 거래량
$24,703 거래량
2026.05.15
21°C or below
$5,148 거래량
<1%
22°C
$5,331 거래량
100%
23°C
$2,350 거래량
<1%
24°C
$1,828 거래량
<1%
25°C
$1,929 거래량
<1%
26°C
$2,969 거래량
<1%
27°C
$1,087 거래량
<1%
28°C
$1,001 거래량
<1%
29°C
$1,010 거래량
<1%
30°C
$1,223 거래량
<1%
31°C or higher
$828 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a high temperature of exactly 22°C in Qingdao on May 15, 2026, driven by official observations from the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport weather station—the market's resolution source—confirming this precise daily maximum. Persistent coastal fog and low cloud cover, as reported in China Meteorological Administration updates, capped daytime heating despite a broader northern heatwave affecting inland Shandong with highs near 26°C elsewhere. Mid-May climatological norms for the station average 19–22°C, aligning with marine-influenced moderation of southerly flows. Realistic challenges are minimal post-observation, but a rare data revision from the station or dispute over measurement timing could theoretically prompt review, though unlikely given the finality of airport records.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 13, 2026, 12:44 AM ET
거래량
$24,703종료일
2026.05.15마켓 개설일
May 13, 2026, 12:44 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 제기 기간
최종
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a high temperature of exactly 22°C in Qingdao on May 15, 2026, driven by official observations from the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport weather station—the market's resolution source—confirming this precise daily maximum. Persistent coastal fog and low cloud cover, as reported in China Meteorological Administration updates, capped daytime heating despite a broader northern heatwave affecting inland Shandong with highs near 26°C elsewhere. Mid-May climatological norms for the station average 19–22°C, aligning with marine-influenced moderation of southerly flows. Realistic challenges are minimal post-observation, but a rare data revision from the station or dispute over measurement timing could theoretically prompt review, though unlikely given the finality of airport records.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$24,703종료일
2026.05.15마켓 개설일
May 13, 2026, 12:44 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 제기 기간
최종
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a high temperature of exactly 22°C in Qingdao on May 15, 2026, driven by official observations from the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport weather station—the market's resolution source—confirming this precise daily maximum. Persistent coastal fog and low cloud cover, as reported in China Meteorological Administration updates, capped daytime heating despite a broader northern heatwave affecting inland Shandong with highs near 26°C elsewhere. Mid-May climatological norms for the station average 19–22°C, aligning with marine-influenced moderation of southerly flows. Realistic challenges are minimal post-observation, but a rare data revision from the station or dispute over measurement timing could theoretically prompt review, though unlikely given the finality of airport records.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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