The dominant 99.5% market-implied probability for a 21°C daily maximum in Qingdao on May 16 reflects tight consensus across the latest China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS ensemble runs, which project a high of exactly 21°C under partly cloudy skies, moderate southerly flow, and typical coastal marine moderation. Recent observations from May 15, when the high reached only 16°C amid persistent cloud cover and sea breezes, have reinforced this downward adjustment from earlier warmer guidance. Historical mid-May climatology for the region centers near 20–22°C, providing additional context for the narrow range. The outcome could shift only if afternoon insolation increases sharply due to unexpected cloud dissipation or if local station measurements deviate from model consensus before official resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Qingdao on May 16?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on May 16?
21°C 99.4%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
30°C or higher <1%
$29,331 거래량
$29,331 거래량
2026.05.16
21°C
99%
22°C
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
21°C 99.4%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
30°C or higher <1%
$29,331 거래량
$29,331 거래량
2026.05.16
21°C
$9,131 거래량
99%
22°C
$3,219 거래량
1%
23°C
$2,204 거래량
<1%
24°C
$1,285 거래량
<1%
25°C
$1,972 거래량
<1%
26°C
$1,845 거래량
<1%
27°C
$1,040 거래량
<1%
28°C
$956 거래량
<1%
29°C
$1,469 거래량
<1%
30°C or higher
$1,325 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The dominant 99.5% market-implied probability for a 21°C daily maximum in Qingdao on May 16 reflects tight consensus across the latest China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS ensemble runs, which project a high of exactly 21°C under partly cloudy skies, moderate southerly flow, and typical coastal marine moderation. Recent observations from May 15, when the high reached only 16°C amid persistent cloud cover and sea breezes, have reinforced this downward adjustment from earlier warmer guidance. Historical mid-May climatology for the region centers near 20–22°C, providing additional context for the narrow range. The outcome could shift only if afternoon insolation increases sharply due to unexpected cloud dissipation or if local station measurements deviate from model consensus before official resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 14, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
거래량
$29,331종료일
2026.05.16마켓 개설일
May 14, 2026, 12:18 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The dominant 99.5% market-implied probability for a 21°C daily maximum in Qingdao on May 16 reflects tight consensus across the latest China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS ensemble runs, which project a high of exactly 21°C under partly cloudy skies, moderate southerly flow, and typical coastal marine moderation. Recent observations from May 15, when the high reached only 16°C amid persistent cloud cover and sea breezes, have reinforced this downward adjustment from earlier warmer guidance. Historical mid-May climatology for the region centers near 20–22°C, providing additional context for the narrow range. The outcome could shift only if afternoon insolation increases sharply due to unexpected cloud dissipation or if local station measurements deviate from model consensus before official resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$29,331종료일
2026.05.16마켓 개설일
May 14, 2026, 12:18 AM ETThe dominant 99.5% market-implied probability for a 21°C daily maximum in Qingdao on May 16 reflects tight consensus across the latest China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS ensemble runs, which project a high of exactly 21°C under partly cloudy skies, moderate southerly flow, and typical coastal marine moderation. Recent observations from May 15, when the high reached only 16°C amid persistent cloud cover and sea breezes, have reinforced this downward adjustment from earlier warmer guidance. Historical mid-May climatology for the region centers near 20–22°C, providing additional context for the narrow range. The outcome could shift only if afternoon insolation increases sharply due to unexpected cloud dissipation or if local station measurements deviate from model consensus before official resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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