The Finnish Meteorological Institute's midday forecast update on May 15 projects Helsinki-Vantaa Airport's highest temperature near 16°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds from the southwest, aligning with tight clustering in ECMWF and GFS ensemble models that show minimal spread around this value. This positioning reflects trader consensus on mid-May climatology, where average highs hover at 15°C amid cool Baltic Sea influences and a weak pressure gradient limiting rapid warming—past days saw peaks of 12-14°C. With 96.8% implied probability, the market prices in low uncertainty, though prolonged breaks in cloud cover or unexpected southerly flow could realistically push to 17°C, while thickening overcast might cap below 16°C; hourly observations will confirm resolution by evening.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Helsinki on May 15?
Highest temperature in Helsinki on May 15?
16°C 96.4%
17°C 2.9%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$43,237 거래량
$43,237 거래량
2026.05.15
16°C
96%
17°C
3%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
16°C 96.4%
17°C 2.9%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$43,237 거래량
$43,237 거래량
2026.05.15
16°C
$5,738 거래량
96%
17°C
$3,473 거래량
3%
18°C
$3,854 거래량
1%
19°C
$2,611 거래량
<1%
20°C
$2,683 거래량
<1%
21°C
$1,925 거래량
<1%
22°C or higher
$2,974 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Finnish Meteorological Institute's midday forecast update on May 15 projects Helsinki-Vantaa Airport's highest temperature near 16°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds from the southwest, aligning with tight clustering in ECMWF and GFS ensemble models that show minimal spread around this value. This positioning reflects trader consensus on mid-May climatology, where average highs hover at 15°C amid cool Baltic Sea influences and a weak pressure gradient limiting rapid warming—past days saw peaks of 12-14°C. With 96.8% implied probability, the market prices in low uncertainty, though prolonged breaks in cloud cover or unexpected southerly flow could realistically push to 17°C, while thickening overcast might cap below 16°C; hourly observations will confirm resolution by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 13, 2026, 1:12 AM ET
거래량
$43,237종료일
2026.05.15마켓 개설일
May 13, 2026, 1:12 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Finnish Meteorological Institute's midday forecast update on May 15 projects Helsinki-Vantaa Airport's highest temperature near 16°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds from the southwest, aligning with tight clustering in ECMWF and GFS ensemble models that show minimal spread around this value. This positioning reflects trader consensus on mid-May climatology, where average highs hover at 15°C amid cool Baltic Sea influences and a weak pressure gradient limiting rapid warming—past days saw peaks of 12-14°C. With 96.8% implied probability, the market prices in low uncertainty, though prolonged breaks in cloud cover or unexpected southerly flow could realistically push to 17°C, while thickening overcast might cap below 16°C; hourly observations will confirm resolution by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$43,237종료일
2026.05.15마켓 개설일
May 13, 2026, 1:12 AM ETThe Finnish Meteorological Institute's midday forecast update on May 15 projects Helsinki-Vantaa Airport's highest temperature near 16°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds from the southwest, aligning with tight clustering in ECMWF and GFS ensemble models that show minimal spread around this value. This positioning reflects trader consensus on mid-May climatology, where average highs hover at 15°C amid cool Baltic Sea influences and a weak pressure gradient limiting rapid warming—past days saw peaks of 12-14°C. With 96.8% implied probability, the market prices in low uncertainty, though prolonged breaks in cloud cover or unexpected southerly flow could realistically push to 17°C, while thickening overcast might cap below 16°C; hourly observations will confirm resolution by evening.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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