Recent high-pressure ridge strengthening over the South China Sea has produced clear skies and strong solar heating across Metro Manila, driving afternoon temperatures toward a peak of 36°C according to the latest PAGASA guidance and regional model consensus. This aligns with May's climatological baseline, when typical daily highs range from 34°C to 37°C under similar anticyclonic conditions, with minimal cloud cover and light winds limiting mixing. Trader positioning reflects these verified observational trends and the narrow resolution window for official station readings. A sudden increase in convective activity or unexpected monsoon surge could cap the maximum below 36°C, though current steering patterns make such shifts unlikely before sunset.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트5월 17일에 마닐라에서 가장 높은 온도를 기록하셨나요?
36°C 100.0%
29°C 이하 <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$29,157 거래량
$29,157 거래량
29°C 이하
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
100%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C 이상
<1%
36°C 100.0%
29°C 이하 <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$29,157 거래량
$29,157 거래량
29°C 이하
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
100%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C 이상
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Recent high-pressure ridge strengthening over the South China Sea has produced clear skies and strong solar heating across Metro Manila, driving afternoon temperatures toward a peak of 36°C according to the latest PAGASA guidance and regional model consensus. This aligns with May's climatological baseline, when typical daily highs range from 34°C to 37°C under similar anticyclonic conditions, with minimal cloud cover and light winds limiting mixing. Trader positioning reflects these verified observational trends and the narrow resolution window for official station readings. A sudden increase in convective activity or unexpected monsoon surge could cap the maximum below 36°C, though current steering patterns make such shifts unlikely before sunset.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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