Recent PAGASA guidance and supporting numerical weather models indicate a peak of 33–34°C for Manila on May 18 under easterly flow with modest moisture and limited afternoon convection. This aligns with the market’s strongest consensus on 34°C, as historical May climatology at Ninoy Aquino International Airport shows mean daily maxima near 34–35°C, modulated by urban heat-island effects and variable sea-breeze suppression. Traders appear to weigh the risk of a brief 35°C spike if subsidence strengthens, against the possibility of slightly cooler readings if cloud cover increases, producing the close 38 %–31.5 % split between the two leading outcomes. Updated PAGASA briefings tomorrow morning will provide the final observational constraint before market resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트5월 18일에 마닐라에서 가장 높은 온도를 기록하셨나요?
5월 18일에 마닐라에서 가장 높은 온도를 기록하셨나요?
34°C 38%
35°C 33%
33°C 22%
36°C 13.0%
신규
신규
2026.05.18
29°C 이하
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
4%
33°C
22%
34°C
38%
35°C
33%
36°C
13%
37°C
2%
38°C
<1%
39°C 이상
<1%
34°C 38%
35°C 33%
33°C 22%
36°C 13.0%
신규
신규
2026.05.18
29°C 이하
$1,013 거래량
<1%
30°C
$113 거래량
<1%
31°C
$1,083 거래량
<1%
32°C
$933 거래량
4%
33°C
$749 거래량
22%
34°C
$436 거래량
38%
35°C
$286 거래량
33%
36°C
$1,005 거래량
13%
37°C
$343 거래량
2%
38°C
$343 거래량
<1%
39°C 이상
$305 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent PAGASA guidance and supporting numerical weather models indicate a peak of 33–34°C for Manila on May 18 under easterly flow with modest moisture and limited afternoon convection. This aligns with the market’s strongest consensus on 34°C, as historical May climatology at Ninoy Aquino International Airport shows mean daily maxima near 34–35°C, modulated by urban heat-island effects and variable sea-breeze suppression. Traders appear to weigh the risk of a brief 35°C spike if subsidence strengthens, against the possibility of slightly cooler readings if cloud cover increases, producing the close 38 %–31.5 % split between the two leading outcomes. Updated PAGASA briefings tomorrow morning will provide the final observational constraint before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
거래량
$6,609종료일
2026.05.18마켓 개설일
May 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent PAGASA guidance and supporting numerical weather models indicate a peak of 33–34°C for Manila on May 18 under easterly flow with modest moisture and limited afternoon convection. This aligns with the market’s strongest consensus on 34°C, as historical May climatology at Ninoy Aquino International Airport shows mean daily maxima near 34–35°C, modulated by urban heat-island effects and variable sea-breeze suppression. Traders appear to weigh the risk of a brief 35°C spike if subsidence strengthens, against the possibility of slightly cooler readings if cloud cover increases, producing the close 38 %–31.5 % split between the two leading outcomes. Updated PAGASA briefings tomorrow morning will provide the final observational constraint before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$6,609종료일
2026.05.18마켓 개설일
May 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ETRecent PAGASA guidance and supporting numerical weather models indicate a peak of 33–34°C for Manila on May 18 under easterly flow with modest moisture and limited afternoon convection. This aligns with the market’s strongest consensus on 34°C, as historical May climatology at Ninoy Aquino International Airport shows mean daily maxima near 34–35°C, modulated by urban heat-island effects and variable sea-breeze suppression. Traders appear to weigh the risk of a brief 35°C spike if subsidence strengthens, against the possibility of slightly cooler readings if cloud cover increases, producing the close 38 %–31.5 % split between the two leading outcomes. Updated PAGASA briefings tomorrow morning will provide the final observational constraint before market resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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