**Official meteorological observations from Mexico City stations, particularly the Tacubaya reference site used by Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN), recorded a daily maximum of approximately 25.5°C on June 13, 2026.** This aligns precisely with the market’s 25°C outcome, which reached 100% implied probability as traders incorporated the verified reading once preliminary data emerged late on the 13th and early on the 14th. June marks the onset of the rainy season in the Valley of Mexico, where typical highs range 23–26°C amid increasing cloud cover, humidity, and afternoon convection that caps extreme heating—consistent with the observed value near the seasonal average. The near-certain consensus reflects real-time confirmation from authoritative government monitoring rather than forecasts alone. Only an unprecedented revision to the official dataset or a redefinition of the resolution criteria (such as using a different station or rounding method) could realistically alter the outcome, both of which remain highly improbable given standard SMN protocols.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트6월 13일 멕시코시티에서 가장 높은 기온?
25°C 100.0%
17°C 이하 <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$30,489 거래량
$30,489 거래량
17°C 이하
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
100%
26°C
<1%
27°C 이상
<1%
25°C 100.0%
17°C 이하 <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$30,489 거래량
$30,489 거래량
17°C 이하
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
100%
26°C
<1%
27°C 이상
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jun 11, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Official meteorological observations from Mexico City stations, particularly the Tacubaya reference site used by Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN), recorded a daily maximum of approximately 25.5°C on June 13, 2026.** This aligns precisely with the market’s 25°C outcome, which reached 100% implied probability as traders incorporated the verified reading once preliminary data emerged late on the 13th and early on the 14th. June marks the onset of the rainy season in the Valley of Mexico, where typical highs range 23–26°C amid increasing cloud cover, humidity, and afternoon convection that caps extreme heating—consistent with the observed value near the seasonal average. The near-certain consensus reflects real-time confirmation from authoritative government monitoring rather than forecasts alone. Only an unprecedented revision to the official dataset or a redefinition of the resolution criteria (such as using a different station or rounding method) could realistically alter the outcome, both of which remain highly improbable given standard SMN protocols.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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