Recent model guidance from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Météo-France places the most likely daily maximum temperature in Paris on May 18 in the 15–17 °C range, driving the market’s tight clustering around the 15 °C and 16 °C outcomes. Ensemble forecasts highlight modest daytime heating under variable cloud cover and light winds, with limited solar insolation keeping the peak suppressed relative to the mid-May climatological average near 18 °C. Minor differences in predicted timing of any late-afternoon clearing or weak warm advection explain the spread between adjacent brackets, while historical Météo-France records show mid-May maxima commonly falling between 14 °C and 19 °C. Updated model runs and official station observations tomorrow morning will provide the final inputs for verification.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트5월 18일 파리에서 가장 높은 기온을 기록하셨나요?
5월 18일 파리에서 가장 높은 기온을 기록하셨나요?
16°C 40%
15°C 34%
17°C 17%
14°C 6%
신규
$21,137 거래량
신규
$21,137 거래량
2026.05.18
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
6%
15°C
34%
16°C
40%
17°C
17%
18°C
3%
19°C or higher
1%
16°C 40%
15°C 34%
17°C 17%
14°C 6%
신규
$21,137 거래량
신규
$21,137 거래량
2026.05.18
9°C or below
$1,541 거래량
<1%
10°C
$3,369 거래량
<1%
11°C
$991 거래량
<1%
12°C
$1,774 거래량
1%
13°C
$1,430 거래량
1%
14°C
$2,896 거래량
6%
15°C
$1,381 거래량
34%
16°C
$2,729 거래량
40%
17°C
$1,993 거래량
17%
18°C
$1,402 거래량
3%
19°C or higher
$1,918 거래량
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent model guidance from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Météo-France places the most likely daily maximum temperature in Paris on May 18 in the 15–17 °C range, driving the market’s tight clustering around the 15 °C and 16 °C outcomes. Ensemble forecasts highlight modest daytime heating under variable cloud cover and light winds, with limited solar insolation keeping the peak suppressed relative to the mid-May climatological average near 18 °C. Minor differences in predicted timing of any late-afternoon clearing or weak warm advection explain the spread between adjacent brackets, while historical Météo-France records show mid-May maxima commonly falling between 14 °C and 19 °C. Updated model runs and official station observations tomorrow morning will provide the final inputs for verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 16, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
거래량
$21,137종료일
2026.05.18마켓 개설일
May 16, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent model guidance from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Météo-France places the most likely daily maximum temperature in Paris on May 18 in the 15–17 °C range, driving the market’s tight clustering around the 15 °C and 16 °C outcomes. Ensemble forecasts highlight modest daytime heating under variable cloud cover and light winds, with limited solar insolation keeping the peak suppressed relative to the mid-May climatological average near 18 °C. Minor differences in predicted timing of any late-afternoon clearing or weak warm advection explain the spread between adjacent brackets, while historical Météo-France records show mid-May maxima commonly falling between 14 °C and 19 °C. Updated model runs and official station observations tomorrow morning will provide the final inputs for verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$21,137종료일
2026.05.18마켓 개설일
May 16, 2026, 12:03 AM ETRecent model guidance from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Météo-France places the most likely daily maximum temperature in Paris on May 18 in the 15–17 °C range, driving the market’s tight clustering around the 15 °C and 16 °C outcomes. Ensemble forecasts highlight modest daytime heating under variable cloud cover and light winds, with limited solar insolation keeping the peak suppressed relative to the mid-May climatological average near 18 °C. Minor differences in predicted timing of any late-afternoon clearing or weak warm advection explain the spread between adjacent brackets, while historical Météo-France records show mid-May maxima commonly falling between 14 °C and 19 °C. Updated model runs and official station observations tomorrow morning will provide the final inputs for verification.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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