Recent weather model runs from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles have converged on a maximum of 25 °C at the official Incheon International Airport station, producing the market’s near-certain 100 % implied probability for that exact outcome. Mid-May climatology in Seoul typically features highs near 24–26 °C under weak high-pressure influence, and current surface observations show clear skies, light westerly flow, and a 500 hPa ridge supporting modest daytime heating without strong advection or precipitation. Minor model spread remains in boundary-layer mixing and urban heat-island effects, yet none currently shift the daily peak outside the 25 °C bin. An unexpected increase in low-level moisture or a late-day sea-breeze front could still trim the high by 1–2 °C before official close-of-day measurement.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트5월 17일 서울에서 가장 높은 기온?
5월 17일 서울에서 가장 높은 기온?
25°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$225,793 거래량
$225,793 거래량
2026.05.17
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
100%
26°C or higher
<1%
25°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$225,793 거래량
$225,793 거래량
2026.05.17
16°C or below
$7,774 거래량
<1%
17°C
$6,507 거래량
<1%
18°C
$9,963 거래량
<1%
19°C
$10,868 거래량
<1%
20°C
$15,133 거래량
<1%
21°C
$22,532 거래량
<1%
22°C
$28,364 거래량
<1%
23°C
$28,273 거래량
<1%
24°C
$23,626 거래량
<1%
25°C
$25,020 거래량
100%
26°C or higher
$47,734 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent weather model runs from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles have converged on a maximum of 25 °C at the official Incheon International Airport station, producing the market’s near-certain 100 % implied probability for that exact outcome. Mid-May climatology in Seoul typically features highs near 24–26 °C under weak high-pressure influence, and current surface observations show clear skies, light westerly flow, and a 500 hPa ridge supporting modest daytime heating without strong advection or precipitation. Minor model spread remains in boundary-layer mixing and urban heat-island effects, yet none currently shift the daily peak outside the 25 °C bin. An unexpected increase in low-level moisture or a late-day sea-breeze front could still trim the high by 1–2 °C before official close-of-day measurement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
거래량
$225,793종료일
2026.05.17마켓 개설일
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent weather model runs from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles have converged on a maximum of 25 °C at the official Incheon International Airport station, producing the market’s near-certain 100 % implied probability for that exact outcome. Mid-May climatology in Seoul typically features highs near 24–26 °C under weak high-pressure influence, and current surface observations show clear skies, light westerly flow, and a 500 hPa ridge supporting modest daytime heating without strong advection or precipitation. Minor model spread remains in boundary-layer mixing and urban heat-island effects, yet none currently shift the daily peak outside the 25 °C bin. An unexpected increase in low-level moisture or a late-day sea-breeze front could still trim the high by 1–2 °C before official close-of-day measurement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$225,793종료일
2026.05.17마켓 개설일
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETRecent weather model runs from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles have converged on a maximum of 25 °C at the official Incheon International Airport station, producing the market’s near-certain 100 % implied probability for that exact outcome. Mid-May climatology in Seoul typically features highs near 24–26 °C under weak high-pressure influence, and current surface observations show clear skies, light westerly flow, and a 500 hPa ridge supporting modest daytime heating without strong advection or precipitation. Minor model spread remains in boundary-layer mixing and urban heat-island effects, yet none currently shift the daily peak outside the 25 °C bin. An unexpected increase in low-level moisture or a late-day sea-breeze front could still trim the high by 1–2 °C before official close-of-day measurement.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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